$1.43 $XRP , can you hold it?
The SEC has been fighting it for four years, winning the lawsuit, ETF funds pouring in wildly, RLUSD stablecoin market cap breaking 1 billion, and even Solana coming to latch onto the big leg—but what about the price? From being slapped down from $1.55, dropping 60%, it’s still hovering around $1.43, like a broken-legged old dog, unable to stand steadily.
First, look at the surface: good news piled up to the sky, price stuck on the floor.
In the past 24 hours, XRP rose from 1.4350 to 1.4387, up 0.3%, still not enough to buy a bottle of water. But don’t get too excited too early—the monthly line is still down 0.6%, down 42% over six months, down 30% over a year. The MACD histogram remains continuously negative, the bearish positions are crowded, and the financing rate has been negative all year. Technical analysis tells you: everyone is betting on it falling.
First thing: regulation is about to land—this time, it’s for real.
The Senate Banking Committee will vote on the CLARITY Act at the end of this month. Once this passes, XRP will be officially recognized as a “non-security commodity,” and the SEC’s four-year lawsuit will be completely over.
Second thing: the money is already in—not just talk.
Last week, the XRP ETF saw net inflows of $55.39 million, the strongest weekly performance in 2026. Spot ETF assets under management are nearing $1 billion. RLUSD stablecoin market cap has broken $1 billion, directly driving XRPL trading volume to record highs.
Third thing: a bullish technical signal has appeared for the first time in three months.
On the XRP daily chart, the SuperTrend indicator has turned bullish for the first time since January. Weekly RSI has rebounded from oversold to around 37, and the MACD histogram bars are shrinking. When the price dips, volume shrinks; when it moves up, volume expands—this is a typical bottoming pattern.
On one side, regulation is about to be implemented, ETF inflows are pouring in like crazy, and fundamentals are undergoing a qualitative change.
On the other side, the price is being firmly pinned at $1.55, bearish positions are crowded to the breaking point, and macro liquidity is tight.
Key level: $1.55—this is the line dividing bulls and bears.
If you’re a short-term trader: enter with a light position in the $1.38 to $1.40 range, with a stop loss below $1.32. After a breakout above $1.55 with volume confirmation, add to your position, targeting $1.80 to $2.00.
If you’re a long-term player: start building positions now in batches, targeting $2.5 to $5 by the end of 2026. If it falls below $1.28, consider clearing—otherwise, hold and don’t move.
Every penny you make is the realization of your understanding. While others panic and cut losses at $1.43, the smart money is already waiting for the $1.55 breakout.
