ETH波段结构（1H）

Trend judgment
1796 low point rebound followed by rapid surge,
Price re-entered above 1900,
Currently operating within the 1890 — 1910 range.

Overall belongs to:
Retracement phase within a bearish trend
Not a trend reversal.

Reasons:
1H structure still has not broken through previous high resistance
Lower highs and lows structure has not changed
BOLL middle band has just been reclaimed but upper band remains under pressure
Price still within a downward channel
MACD, although turning red, momentum is beginning to slow
The upward move appears more like a short covering rebound

Market condition:
Technical rebound after sharp decline
Not a new trend initiation.

Key levels

Resistance zone
1915–1935: current rebound resistance
1945: previous high strong resistance zone
1900: trend reversal confirmation level

Support zone
1880: short-term support
1855: pullback confirmation level
1796: key low point for continuation of the bearish trend

Summary
The current core question is not:
Has it gone up?

But:
Does the rebound change the structure?

The structure remains:
Downtrend → Rebound → Choose direction again

Trading ideas

✔️ Main idea (follow the trend)
Range 1915–1945
Wait for signs of stagnation
Prioritize short positions

Stop loss: above 1955
Targets: 1880 → 1855 → 1800

✔️ Secondary idea (short-term long)
Only when pullback to 1855–1880
Shows signs of stabilization
Can short-term rebound long

Target: around 1900
Only quick in and out.

✖️ Not recommended
Chasing longs
Bottom fishing midway
Emotional long positions

Core statement:

Now is a bearish rebound, not a bullish start.

Only if the following conditions are met:
Consistently stabilize above 1945 — 1950
ETH may enter a true reversal phase.
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