BTC Future Trend Deep Analysis: Short-term (March-April): Triangle endpoint turning point, probability of decline first before rebound. My judgment: Federal Reserve dot plot likely maintains "higher for longer" (first rate cut postponed to September), layered with geopolitical aftershocks, short-term likely first retraces to 68,000-69,000 or even 65,000, but won't see deep decline—US stock falls have already demonstrated BTC's independent resilience. If Powell shows slightly dovish after data, rapid rebound to 72,000+. Mid-term (2026 full year): Institutional consensus 120,000-170,000. If Iran conflict drags on or Fed forced to cut rates, BTC's "digital gold" narrative completely returns. Long-term (2027-2030): Surge to global top 3 market cap logic unchanged: fixed supply + global adoption explosion + super app launch (X Money is just the beginning). After each crash (32→2, 69,000→15,500, 126,000→60,000), price created new highs—any pullback in 2026 is the final boarding window.