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Federal Reserve Goes Hawkish Overnight! After Reducing Long ETH Short Positions at High Levels, Hold Your Base Position Steadily 🚨
Camped Out Through Powell's Full Press Conference Early Morning, Previous Short Thesis Got Completely Locked In ✅
First, Let Me Highlight the Most Complete Key Points for Those Who Didn't Stay Up 👇
✅ Rate Cut Expectations Slashed to Freezing Point: Maintaining one rate cut in 2026, but more officials leaning toward zero cuts, Powell stated "no rate cuts unless inflation improves"
✅ Interest Rates on the Edge of Tightening: Current rates at the high end of the neutral range, hovering between "tight and not tight," clearly committed to maintaining moderate tightening, liquidity completely locked down!
✅ Rate Hike Expectations Put on the Table: Meeting discussed possibility of rate hikes, though most don't see it as the base case, but the hawkish flavor is maxed out, completely killing any hopes of stimulus!
✅ Inflation Sources Crystal Clear: Inflation clearly isn't from the labor market, mainly from commodities, tariffs and energy shocks, Middle East conflict creates extreme uncertainty, even Powell joked that economic forecasting is like "guessing blind"!
For us bears, this is the bears' reassurance pill 💊
For those who reduced positions with me at the high levels and locked in profits, listen to me on this:
Hold your base position steady! Don't move around!
The trend is already laid bare: high rates lock down liquidity, risk assets all under pressure, no reason for a reversal! Don't get lured into chasing longs by short-term bounces, we want profits from the big trend!
💡 Trading Reminders:
• Already reduced at highs, the remaining base position is about riding the trend for profits, keep stops in place, let profits run!
• Advise against listening to bottom-fishing calls, now it's about staying hawkish with the Fed, the bearish logic hasn't changed!
• Small positions for big trends, steady profits are the long-term way!
#美联储利率决议