2026-03-19 02:02:22

FOMC Result Out: Possibly Only One Rate Cut This Year, or None at All!

Voting result 11:1, overwhelmingly passed. Compared to last time when 2 people supported rate cuts, only 1 person remains.
The Fed suddenly turned hawkish, not because employment or GDP is weak, but because there's a problem on the supply side:
👉 Oil prices: Middle East conflict, energy prices soaring, the effort to combat inflation over the past two years is nearly wasted
👉 Supply chains: Conflict causing freight costs to rise, commodity prices starting to pick up again
The Fed's logic is straightforward: if inflation might rebound due to external factors, it's better to tighten too much than to ease too early.
This is the first time the Fed mentioned "war" in an official document.
The conclusion is clear: this year most likely at most one rate cut, possibly none at all
Thanks to Trump's Middle East war

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