#Gold XAU/USD 1D 👀

To find the bottom in gold, we first need to identify when extraordinary price movements occurred, why they occurred, and whether these reasons are still relevant today. Based on simple logic, as the reasons for increases disappear, the price falls.
In the chart below, in the area marked as White Zone (August 2025), gold experienced its first absurd rally. All the rallies that followed this date pushed the price higher than it should be by bringing abnormal money inflows into gold.
Within this abnormal increase, there were many different reasons such as war tensions, central banks stockpiling large amounts of gold, etc. Actually, understanding gold's story is quite simple - as these reasons disappear, gold will return to its real value, meaning the price will decrease.
Now let's come to today and answer the question of how far gold will fall;
There's a saying we've had since childhood: Gold never forgets the price it sees, and it won't. First, the price will fall to the support level marked as the green zone in the chart (the absurdly entered money will exit again) then, after investors see that they were able to price gold above market value, they will gradually start accumulating gold again and gold will rise to new ATHs.
After understanding our story, now let's come to the issue of where to buy and where to sell;
If you're a short-term investor (1-6 months) and you have a long position buy trade, my condolences. In the short term, I think with 1 rally followed by 2 declines, they will pull the gold/XAU/USD parity down to around 3500 levels. If you say I can't wait long-term, if I were you, I would sell in pieces during the rallies and wait in cash during the 2 decline periods I mentioned.
If you're a long-term investor (6+ months) I think even just waiting will make you profit, especially in the TL parity.
You've probably caught the answer to the question of where to buy in the post itself :)
Finally, all the story I mentioned is for gold based on USD. Based on TL, due to the increase in the dollar rate, you won't have much loss, you'll just lose from inflation, goodbye :)