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Global Macro & Geopolitics

• Middle East Situation

◦ Trump claims to have sunk multiple Iranian vessels, tensions escalate in Strait of Hormuz

◦ IEA and multiple countries release 400 million barrels of oil reserves, oil prices surge then pullback (91→88)

• Fed Expectations

◦ Goldman Sachs and other institutions postpone rate cut forecasts to September, reduce full-year rate cut projections

◦ Dollar index strengthens in the short term, 10-year US Treasury yield rises above 4.3%+