Macro analyst Lyn Alden stated that Bitcoin is unlikely to experience a major crash, as the market has not yet reached a frenzy state. She believes that as institutional demand and macroeconomic forces reshape the pace of Bitcoin, the traditional four-year cycle is weakening.
In the What Bitcoin Did podcast, Alden believes that there are no signs of a large-scale collapse in the current environment: “We have not yet reached a level of euphoria in this cycle; therefore, there is no reason to expect a large-scale collapse.” She points out that Bitcoin's performance is more influenced by broader macro factors rather than traditional halving cycles, while also refuting the view that Bitcoin's four-year cycle still dominates its development path.
On the contrary, she believes that the growing interest of institutional investors and the changing economic environment may extend the cycle longer than many expect.
Her comments align with the recent views of Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan. Hougan stated that the market may be about to enter a “few years of prosperity,” rather than experiencing a cyclical boom and bust pattern.
Alden expects Bitcoin to return to the $100,000 mark in 2026, but she also warns investors not to take for granted that every dip will immediately lead to a bull market. (Cryptonews)
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