Goldman Sachs Ausblick 2026: Starkes Wachstum der US-Wirtschaft und moderate Inflation koexistieren, die Federal Reserve wird die Zinssätze noch zweimal senken

PANews 1月12日消息,据金十报道,高盛集团的经济学家认为,今年美国经济将受到减税、实际工资增长和财富上升的推动,同时通胀将趋于温和。根据该行1月11日发布的《2026年美国经济展望》报告,由于劳动力市场前景更加不确定,美联储预计将在6月和9月分别再进行25个基点的降息。此外,高盛预测,2026年GDP增长率(按第四季度同比计算)为2.5%,若按全年计算则为2.8%;到12月,核心个人消费支出(PCE)通胀率同比为2.1%,核心消费者preise指数(CPI)将放缓至2%;基线预测失业率将稳定在4.5%,但随着企业寻求利用人工智能来降低劳动力成本,存在出现一段“无就业增长”期的风险。在贸易方面,高盛假设即将到来的中期选举将使得生活成本问题成为一个主要政治议题,这将促使白宫避免任何进一步大幅提高关税的举动。

Original anzeigen
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.
Kommentieren
0/400
Keine Kommentare