Next week (January 5-9), a flurry of US economic data releases will significantly impact the direction of the crypto market. Let’s take a look at which data points are worth paying attention to.
Starting with the first two days. Monday features the ISM Manufacturing Index and auto sales data, followed by services PMI and Federal Reserve officials' speeches on Tuesday. The impact of these two days' data is not substantial; mainly, they cause short-term market sentiment fluctuations. Unless the data deviates significantly from expectations, their influence on the crypto trend will be limited.
Wednesday is busier. ADP employment data, ISM Services Index, and JOLTS job openings are all released on this day, marking a key moment to observe the health of the US labor market. If these data unexpectedly decline, it will reinforce market expectations for rate cuts, increasing the attractiveness of risk assets (including cryptocurrencies). On the same day, factory orders data will also be released as supplementary information.
Thursday’s initial jobless claims, trade balance, and productivity data are also important but not yet at the level of "must watch."
Friday is the real storm center—December Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and Consumer Confidence Index all come out. This report directly influences the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision and can shake the entire risk asset pricing logic. The crypto market is particularly sensitive to such macroeconomic expectations, and any surprise data will quickly reflect in coin prices.
In simple terms: the first two days don’t require too much concern; Wednesday and Friday are the critical points to watch.
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StakeOrRegret
· 01-08 01:14
On non-farm Friday, you have to stay tuned, and the price of the coin is likely to be a roller coaster ride.
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SchrodingerGas
· 01-06 21:10
On non-farm Friday, we might have to stay up all night. The reconfiguration of pricing logic under this macro expectation is too significant, and it's not something that on-chain data can fix.
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GateUser-cff9c776
· 01-05 22:36
On Friday, when the key non-farm payroll data is released, the price of cryptocurrencies reacts accordingly. This is what is called the "macro expectation pricing power," a perfect demonstration of the supply and demand curve.
Wednesday and Friday are the real showtimes; other days are just supporting acts, not worth mentioning.
Honestly, during this intense data barrage, Bitcoin's candlestick chart might be more honest than the Federal Reserve's decision.
Once the ADP and non-farm payroll data are out, they directly determine whether the rate cut expectations can hold steady. The fate of risk assets hinges on this week.
It's also Schrodinger's bull market moment—both rising and falling until the moment the Friday data is announced, when it collapses...
Too many retail traders have been idling in the past few days. Wednesday is the signal when the main players start to position themselves.
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DuskSurfer
· 01-05 03:50
Friday's non-farm payrolls are the real deal; the ones before were just appetizers.
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TokenTaxonomist
· 01-05 03:49
ngl, per my analysis the thursday data is actually getting slept on here—initial jobless claims moves the needle more than people think, statistically speaking. let me pull up my spreadsheet real quick...
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MerkleTreeHugger
· 01-05 03:48
On non-farm Friday, the crypto world is probably going to hold its breath again... If the data exceeds expectations, it could skyrocket or plummet instantly, it's really exciting.
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degenwhisperer
· 01-05 03:44
On non-farm Friday, I have to keep an eye on the screen again. It feels like every time is a moment when the crypto prices surge.
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BottomMisser
· 01-05 03:33
Pinned on Wednesday and Friday, don't worry about the others.
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BanklessAtHeart
· 01-05 03:30
Friday's non-farm payrolls are the real game-changer; the previous days were just appetizers. We must keep a close eye on how this directly impacts Federal Reserve policies.
Next week (January 5-9), a flurry of US economic data releases will significantly impact the direction of the crypto market. Let’s take a look at which data points are worth paying attention to.
Starting with the first two days. Monday features the ISM Manufacturing Index and auto sales data, followed by services PMI and Federal Reserve officials' speeches on Tuesday. The impact of these two days' data is not substantial; mainly, they cause short-term market sentiment fluctuations. Unless the data deviates significantly from expectations, their influence on the crypto trend will be limited.
Wednesday is busier. ADP employment data, ISM Services Index, and JOLTS job openings are all released on this day, marking a key moment to observe the health of the US labor market. If these data unexpectedly decline, it will reinforce market expectations for rate cuts, increasing the attractiveness of risk assets (including cryptocurrencies). On the same day, factory orders data will also be released as supplementary information.
Thursday’s initial jobless claims, trade balance, and productivity data are also important but not yet at the level of "must watch."
Friday is the real storm center—December Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and Consumer Confidence Index all come out. This report directly influences the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision and can shake the entire risk asset pricing logic. The crypto market is particularly sensitive to such macroeconomic expectations, and any surprise data will quickly reflect in coin prices.
In simple terms: the first two days don’t require too much concern; Wednesday and Friday are the critical points to watch.