2026-01-05 11:21:33

Recently, I have invested my principal, and I would like to share the logic behind this move with everyone.

On the macro level, the bearish news has already spent enough time being digested by the market, and the pervasive fear that was present is now dissipating. Rational investors have already sensed opportunities at the bottom range. Many leading tokens in various sectors are now near their historical lows, and the risk-reward ratio for building positions at this level is quite favorable.

From another perspective, mainstream altcoins have been consolidating sideways or even slightly declining at the bottom for a long time, and those short-term speculators who couldn't withstand the pressure have already exited. The panic indicator has risen from 10 to 42, reflecting a gradual warming of market sentiment.

Looking at trading data, liquidity for mainstream altcoins is beginning to recover, while liquidity for secondary altcoins remains poor. This indicates that market attention is shifting towards some top-tier tokens, as seen in the performance of ETH, DOGE, BNB, SOL, and others.

Based on these judgments, the current portfolio allocation still centers around mainstream coins. As for those secondary altcoins with poor liquidity, trading them requires extra caution, as the risks are indeed significant.

ETH1,05%

DOGE-2,56%

BNB0,25%

SOL0,31%

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SchroedingerMiner

· 8h ago

Building positions at the bottom is indeed aggressive, but is this rebound real or fake? I'm a bit worried about a repeat.

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ImpermanentTherapist

· 01-05 11:51

The principal has been invested. I just want to ask, if you win this time, what should you do? If you lose, what should you do?

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UnluckyValidator

· 01-05 11:49

Is the principal invested? Bro, is this confidence or just throwing a tantrum? The panic index number 42 sounds good, but I'm just worried that the rebound might be just a flash in the pan. I believe in the liquidity returning to leading coins, but when it comes to critical moments, whoever runs faster wins. Secondary altcoins are one thing, but pump-and-dump schemes are everywhere. Honestly, your logic isn't wrong, I'm just worried about another wave of macroeconomic changes. Listening to your analysis, it sounds okay, but I think I'll wait and see for now. Building a position at the bottom sounds great, but what if it keeps falling? Can you withstand it?

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AirdropHunterZhang

· 01-05 11:47

Bro, I respect your logic, you're really bold. I'm still trying to milk some gains on the pancake.

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DAOplomacy

· 01-05 11:34

ngl the liquidity divergence thesis is *theoretically* sound, though historical precedent suggests these sentiment rotations rarely play out as cleanly as the frameworks propose... arguably worth monitoring the stakeholder alignment patterns before doubling down on any single narrative

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LiquidityOracle

· 01-05 11:26

The principal has all been invested, this move... but the logic is indeed clear. The turning point where the panic indicator rises from 10 to 42 is definitely worth paying attention to.

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