2026-01-05 11:50:19

#以太坊大户持仓变化 🔥The Federal Reserve January decision is here, and the crypto market is about to stir!

$BTC $ETH $ZEC

Countdown to January 27-28. The FOMC meeting is taking place these days, and the decision will be officially announced at 3 a.m. on the 29th—timed just right around the US stock market close, so expect some significant movements.

The focus now is: will Powell really adopt an easing stance? Easier said than done. Although inflation has decreased quite a bit, layoffs are accelerating. Not easing policy could lead to an economic collapse; easing too much risks a rebound in inflation. The hawkish and dovish voices within the Fed are increasingly at odds, and policy layers are reportedly applying pressure. This meeting is definitely one of the most difficult decisions in recent years.

Market rumors suggest a possible 125 basis point cut, but I think a more realistic scenario is signaling a dovish tilt first, with a significant rate cut coming in steps later. As long as easing expectations are set, liquidity will follow—US stocks may rebound, gold could rise, and BTC might surge. Especially Bitcoin—once easing expectations appear, trading volume will definitely expand.

What’s most concerning isn’t so much "continued rate hikes," but "half-measures and leaving things ambiguous." If Powell is vague, both bulls and bears will get hurt, and the market could fall into chaos.

👉Trading Tips: These days, risk is higher, so don’t over-allocate your positions; the market is likely to be volatile before the meeting. The key is how Powell describes "inflation tolerance"—once he mentions accepting inflation above 2.5%, it’s basically a signal of a policy shift.

What’s your prediction? Will it be a dovish move or will hawks continue? See you in the comments below!👇

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MevShadowranger

· 01-08 03:47

If Powell starts to be vague again, I’ll just dump the market --- Rather than guessing whether it’s dovish or hawkish, it’s better to bet on a surge in trading volume --- Staying up past 3 a.m., watching the charts --- 125 basis points? Haha, overthinking it, just a signal at most --- The key is liquidity, once it comes, BTC will take off --- I bet he’ll speak halfway and then the market will explode --- If it’s truly easing, this wave of market movement will definitely be significant --- Speaking halfway is the most annoying, worse than a direct rate hike --- Keep your positions light, these days it’s just eating noodles --- When the rate cut expectation appears, trading volume can double, this time it’s a sure thing --- If Powell dares to mention 2.5% inflation tolerance, then it’s really a shift --- Don’t pile up all your positions, wait for the signal before acting --- Prepare for a surge on the 27th, see you then

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NervousFingers

· 01-05 13:41

Powell's decision to save the market this time, otherwise the economy would really have problems How high can BTC rise this wave, feels uncertain Being vague is the most annoying, might as well just raise interest rates straightforwardly Waiting for 3 a.m. on the 29th, this wave of phones must be kept close Cut 125 basis points? Dream on, I bet it starts at 50 Retail investors are really being messed around by these expectations, honestly Liquidity arrives, then it’s easy to handle. As soon as US stocks rebound, we’ll be eating meat Half of the prediction is left unspoken, it’s often like that Don’t over-allocate your positions, that’s reliable. I’ve already freed up some This decision-making is indeed difficult, with serious rifts between hawks and doves

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WalletDetective

· 01-05 12:20

Powell needs to give a clear answer; vague statements will only cause market chaos. Waiting until 3 a.m. on the 29th, it's another all-nighter. 125 basis points? I doubt it, probably just a smoke screen. As soon as there's a sign of easing, BTC gets hyped; historical patterns are clear. Leaving things half-said is the most annoying, even more uncomfortable than a direct rate hike. This is definitely the most complicated meeting in recent years, with hawkish and dovish voices both present. Holding a lighter position is the right move; don't be greedy during volatile times. The key point is the tolerance for inflation; we must watch it closely. It seems likely that dovish signals will prevail; otherwise, how to handle the wave of layoffs?

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Ser_This_Is_A_Casino

· 01-05 12:14

If Powell is vague again, I'll just laugh and go all-in on the short.

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Layer2Observer

· 01-05 12:12

The 125bp rumor should have been debunked long ago; historical data shows this probability is no more than 15%.

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GhostAddressHunter

· 01-05 12:06

If Powell really hedges his words, it’s over; then it will be another volatile day, and positions could be wiped out. Honestly, it’s a gamble whether he will actually ease this time, or it will just be another false alarm. Cut by 125 basis points? Dream on, 50 basis points would be good enough. This time feels more uncertain than ever before; the market has been extremely restless for a long time. Rather than listening to what he says, it’s better to watch the reaction of the US stock market—that’s the real indicator. By the way, if there’s really a shift, those who bought at the bottom will have made a killing again. In the early morning of the 29th at 3 AM, those staying up to watch the decision are mainly gamblers and retail investors. When the dovish stance is announced, BTC will be happy, and all chains will follow suit—this logic is clear. Those with full positions should be very regretful now; when risks are high, it’s better to leave some room for flexibility.

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