#Polymarket预测市场 Prediction markets have once again provided us with an interesting case. Kalshi's research data shows that predictions based on market traders' forecasts have an average error rate 40% lower than Wall Street in inflation predictions, and during periods of economic volatility, the accuracy can even surpass 67%—what does this imply?

Collective intelligence is indeed effective. When a group of people participate seriously in predictions due to economic incentives, the information they aggregate is often more perceptive than that of a single expert. Especially in times of high uncertainty, market participants can perceive changes more quickly.

For those interested in participating in prediction markets, this is a signal: platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are not just gambling; they have real value discovery mechanisms behind them. You don't need to be an economist—just make reasonable judgments based on available information, and you have the opportunity to profit from it.

So next time you see an interactive opportunity in prediction markets, don't just think about making quick gains; also understand the logic behind it. Choose prediction assets with good liquidity, many participants, and sufficient information. Your judgment will be more likely to be rewarded. Start with small amounts to test and accumulate your prediction sense; in the long run, your returns will be more stable.