#数字资产动态追踪 The Fed's "dovish" signals last night completely ignited the market.
A series of heavyweight officials took turns speaking, reinforcing expectations of rate cuts. This is not speculation, but real policy signals being released.
Let's organize the key information:
Official Milan straightforwardly said that the rate cut could exceed 100 basis points this year, and the core inflation indicator is already close to the target. At the same time, official Barkin also mentioned that policy adjustments need to find a balance between suppressing inflation and protecting employment—sounds cautious, but essentially paving the way for rate cuts.
Data from the CME FedWatch tool reflects the market's true expectation changes:
The probability of maintaining interest rates in January is 81.7%, but by March, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut jumps to 40.7%. Over the year, the market has priced in two rate cuts, and the end-of-year interest rate may fall back to the 3.00%-3.25% range.
This shift in expectations immediately left its mark on various assets.
U.S. stocks are the hottest—both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 hit new all-time highs, with the Nasdaq following suit. However, Chinese concept stocks performed weakly, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index falling 0.78%, creating a contrast. The crypto sector also couldn't sit still; $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB started rebounding on the back of the loose policy expectations, with funds clearly beginning to stir. Precious metals like gold and silver also opened higher, reflecting both safe-haven considerations and responses to the easing expectations.
Ultimately, rate cuts haven't truly materialized yet, but this strong expectation of easing has already become the most powerful factor driving the market upward. The prelude to capital game has just begun.
When liquidity expectations heat up, smart money has already started to move quietly. There are many opportunities worth paying attention to in the Ethereum ecosystem, especially projects that have both hot concepts and community consensus. Lay out your positions early so you can catch the rhythm when the big wave arrives.
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GweiObserver
· 16h ago
The rate cut hasn't even been implemented yet, and it's already blowing up. Smart money is indeed one step ahead.
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Gm_Gn_Merchant
· 01-08 07:50
As soon as the expectation of interest rate cuts appears, money starts to flow chaotically. This wave has already been driven up before it even materializes.
Waiting for Bitcoin to continue soaring, the opportunities in the ETH ecosystem definitely need to be seized.
The Fed folks just keep leaking signals, do they really think we can't hear the underlying message?
Chinese concept stocks are still struggling, while US stocks are riding high—what a pattern.
Under the expectation of easing, smart money has already fled, while retail investors are still studying candlestick charts haha.
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AirdropHarvester
· 01-07 03:30
As soon as the rate cut expectation emerged, smart money has already started to move. There's really no time to wait any longer.
Wait, 100 basis points? Isn't that too much...
This rebound in BTC feels like just an appetizer; the opportunities in the ETH ecosystem are the main course.
Chinese concept stocks are so weak; better to go all in on US stocks.
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MevSandwich
· 01-07 03:27
The interest rate cut hasn't even been implemented yet, and so many people are betting on it? Is that real?
Basically, it's a liquidity game, and the crypto circle is most into this.
Wait, what's with the 0.78% drop in Chinese concept stocks? That shouldn't be.
Preemptively positioning in the Ethereum ecosystem? I feel like it's too late...
Smart money has already run, and we're still analyzing data here.
If there's really a rate cut, how high could BTC go? Everyone, give your predictions.
How long can this easing expectation last? What if the FED changes its stance?
I have a feeling the capital is itching to move, I said the same thing last time.
Is it a bit too late to jump on now?
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SchrodingerPrivateKey
· 01-07 03:22
Dovish signals are out, and BTC immediately comes back to life. This rhythm is incredible.
Just a few days ago, it was breaking down, and now it's reborn. The expectation of easing is truly magical.
However, Chinese concept stocks have fallen so much; it seems the main players are still choosing sides.
Does the Ethereum ecosystem really have a chance, or is it just another opportunity to cut leeks...
100 basis points? Is the Federal Reserve serious? They smell money.
Funds are starting to move, but I suspect the real show is still to come.
View OriginalReply0
OneBlockAtATime
· 01-07 03:15
The interest rate cut expectations haven't materialized yet, but smart money is already staking out territory... The rebound in BTC and ETH—is it a coincidence?
#数字资产动态追踪 The Fed's "dovish" signals last night completely ignited the market.
A series of heavyweight officials took turns speaking, reinforcing expectations of rate cuts. This is not speculation, but real policy signals being released.
Let's organize the key information:
Official Milan straightforwardly said that the rate cut could exceed 100 basis points this year, and the core inflation indicator is already close to the target. At the same time, official Barkin also mentioned that policy adjustments need to find a balance between suppressing inflation and protecting employment—sounds cautious, but essentially paving the way for rate cuts.
Data from the CME FedWatch tool reflects the market's true expectation changes:
The probability of maintaining interest rates in January is 81.7%, but by March, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut jumps to 40.7%. Over the year, the market has priced in two rate cuts, and the end-of-year interest rate may fall back to the 3.00%-3.25% range.
This shift in expectations immediately left its mark on various assets.
U.S. stocks are the hottest—both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 hit new all-time highs, with the Nasdaq following suit. However, Chinese concept stocks performed weakly, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index falling 0.78%, creating a contrast. The crypto sector also couldn't sit still; $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB started rebounding on the back of the loose policy expectations, with funds clearly beginning to stir. Precious metals like gold and silver also opened higher, reflecting both safe-haven considerations and responses to the easing expectations.
Ultimately, rate cuts haven't truly materialized yet, but this strong expectation of easing has already become the most powerful factor driving the market upward. The prelude to capital game has just begun.
When liquidity expectations heat up, smart money has already started to move quietly. There are many opportunities worth paying attention to in the Ethereum ecosystem, especially projects that have both hot concepts and community consensus. Lay out your positions early so you can catch the rhythm when the big wave arrives.