Data PANews: 63% pasar jangka pendek di Polymarket tidak ada transaksi dalam 24 jam, 505 kontrak utama menyumbang 47% volume perdagangan

CoinNetwork · 2026-01-08T10:58:00+00:00

Cryptocurrency.com News on January 8: Cryptocurrency.com recently analyzed historical market data from 295,000 markets on the Polymarket platform. The data shows: 1. Over 60% of short-term markets become "zombies": Among active markets with cycles shorter than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have zero trading volume in 24 hours. 2. Scarce crypto short-term liquidity: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets (1.32 million USD) is 30 times that of crypto markets (440,000 USD), with crypto short-term predictions lacking capital support. 3. Extreme head effect: Only 505 mega contracts with trading volume exceeding 10 million USD (extremely low proportion) monopolize 47% of the total platform trading volume. 4. Large capital prefers long-term: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with US politics leading at 28.17 million USD in average volume. 5. Geopolitical rise: This sector's active proportion reaches 29.7%, becoming

CoinNetwork

2026-01-08 10:58:00

Coin界网 January 8 News, Coin界网 recently analyzed 295,000 historical market data from the Polymarket platform. The data shows: 1. Over 60% of short-term markets have become “zombies”: Among active markets with cycles less than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have 0 trading volume in 24 hours. 2. Crypto short-term liquidity shortage: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets ($1.32 million) is 30 times that of crypto markets ($440,000), indicating a lack of funding support for short-term crypto predictions. 3. Extreme head effect: Only 505 super contracts with trading volume exceeding $10 million (extremely low proportion of total) monopolize 47% of the total platform trading volume. 4. Large capital favors long-term: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with US politics leading at $28.17 million in average volume. 5. Geopolitical rise: This sector accounts for 29.7% of active share, becoming the fastest growing track. The data shows that Polymarket is differentiating into a “high-frequency sports casino” and “macro political hedge”, with liquidity highly concentrated in very few top narratives.

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