Recently, gold and silver markets have indeed been surging wildly. Some analysts are even directly calling for gold to reach $7,843 within the year. Is this a rational prediction or an over-optimistic fantasy?

The core logic supporting this forecast is actually quite complex. First, the expectation of interest rate cuts is already priced into market expectations, and the US dollar index is under pressure. At this point, where are investors putting their money? Gold naturally becomes the first choice. Second, central banks around the world have been aggressively stockpiling gold over the years, and the supply side is inherently limited, elevating its scarcity to new heights. The third perspective is more straightforward—geopolitical tensions are turbulent, trust crises are spreading, and safe-haven funds are rushing into assets like metals and US Treasuries.

But honestly, reaching that price level of 7843? That target sounds quite dreamy. The process will definitely involve rollercoaster-like fluctuations. Don’t be brainwashed by external voices; blindly FOMO-ing in will definitely be an IQ tax. Smart institutions have already been waiting for a pullback, deploying in batches, and strictly controlling their positions. That’s the real way to survive long-term.

A question worth pondering: if gold truly enters a strong mode, will BTC follow suit and rise, or will it be drained? This reflects the rotation logic between risk assets and safe-haven assets, which is quite interesting.