#策略性加码BTC In the past couple of days, Trump has been sending the strongest signals regarding Iran across various occasions. This matter is becoming a focal point in the crypto community—will there really be a strike? If so, should $BTC and $ETH run or buy the dip?

Let's first review what has happened recently. Trump has twice on social media and in public speeches told the Iranian people that "aid is coming," with a clear implication. The White House has already instructed U.S. citizens to evacuate Iran immediately—standard procedure before military action. Trump also explicitly canceled all planned meetings with the current Iranian regime. Most importantly, he scheduled a meeting with senior advisors on January 13, where the "hardline options" including military strikes are on the table.

Some may ask, does the U.S. military really have the capability to act? On the surface, the U.S. Navy has only deployed six warships in the Middle East, seeming limited in strength. But a former Navy officer pointed out that the U.S. can launch cruise missile attacks from the homeland or outside the region. Airstrikes on nuclear facilities, supporting anti-government forces, and even cyber warfare are all within possible options.

What should traders do now? A few key points:

1. Reduce risk exposure. Before the full truth emerges, lower leverage and keep a higher proportion of stablecoins. When extreme volatility hits, you'll have ammunition to operate.

2. Keep an eye on two signals—oil prices and the US dollar index. War expectations usually push oil prices higher and strengthen the dollar, which is not friendly to risk assets. Watching $USO and the dollar index daily is worthwhile.

3. Think through two scenarios. One is a quick resolution of the conflict, with market risk appetite rebounding—how will you follow? The other is escalation and deterioration—where is your stop-loss, and how to decisively protect your principal?

Finally, a classic but practical tip: buy when rumors start, sell when news actually lands. The market tends to be torn apart by news during this period, and sharp fluctuations are normal.

Ultimately, geopolitics is the most unpredictable variable. This wave is not simply good or bad news but a test of the market's re-pricing of risk. Staying alive long enough gives you a chance amid the chaos.