Good evening!

My thoughts and forecast for next week

Today is March 1, 2026, and after yesterday's shock from the strikes on Iran (Khamenei's death, escalation), the market showed a strong rebound: BTC jumped from a low of ~$63k to ~$68k, and is now consolidating around $66,000–$67,000 (data for UTC evening: ~$66,400–$67,000, +1.5-2% per day after correction). ETH also bounced back to ~$1,980–$2,000 (+~5-6% from yesterday's bottom of ~$1,840). SOSO is holding at ~$0.35–$0.36 (without strong movements, following the majors).

Geopolitics remains the main driver: many perceived the death of Iran's leader as a possible signal for de-escalation (power vacuum → less harsh reaction), oil did not fly to $100+, and OPEC+ is even discussing production growth. This gave the market a break, but the volatility is huge — we are waiting for the reaction of Iran, the opening of the US markets and macro (Fed, oil inflation). The crypt is now behaving like a risky asset (dump on fear → bounce on hope), and not like "digital gold".

My thoughts and forecast for next week (March 2-8, 2026)
I am not a prophet, but based on current data (technical analysis, sentiment, news), here is my view:

- Base case scenario (probability ~45-50%): Sideways movement with slight growth. BTC $65,000–$72,000–$73,000 (rebound to $70k+ as key resistance test). ETH $1,950–$2,200 (attempt to break through $2,100). SOSO $0.33–$0.38 (follows ETH, low liquidity). The market is waiting for clarity on Iran — if there is no new escalation (blockade of the strait, strikes on bases), the rebound will continue on the "buy the dip" from whales and ETFs. Fear & Greed is still in Extreme Fear, but is improving.

- Bullish scenario (~25-30%): Strong rebound. BTC to $73,000–$75,000+ (if de-escalation + ETF inflows return >$500M/day). ETH to $2,200–$2,300 (whales accumulate). SOSO can +10-20% on an alt rally. Historically, after geopolitical shocks, the crypto bounces back quickly unless there is a long-term macro impact (inflation does not spike).

- Bearish scenario (~25-30%): A new dump. BTC is below $63k → $60k or even $55k–$58k (if Iran responds harshly, oil >$80–$90, inflation → Fed hawkish). ETH to $1,700–$1,800. SOSO below $0.30 (alt dump). The risk is high because the crypto has lost ~50% since the peak of October 2025, and many are waiting for the bottom in March-April.

My general forecast for the week is a rebound/sideways upward movement rather than a deep dump. I see BTC in the range of $65,000–$74,000 (average ~$70,000 by the end of the week, if the news does not worsen). ETH $1,950–$2,200 (~$2,100 average). SOSO $0.34–$0.39 (without a unique catalyst — depends on majors).

Why I think so:
- Whales accumulated yesterday/today on deep (outflow from exchanges, borrowing on Aave for longs).
- Technique: BTC bounced off strong support of $63k, RSI oversold → bounce potential.
- News: Khamenei's death → possible chaos in Iran → less organized war → relief rally.
- But the risks are: If stocks/oil fall heavily tomorrow (Monday)— the crypt will pull down.

This is my subjective opinion based on everything I see — it's not 100% accurate, the crypt likes surprises!

And what do you see?