The Strait of Hormuz is experiencing the most severe de facto blockade in history.
After the “Epic Fury” joint military operation on February 28, 2026, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard broadcasted on VHF Channel 16 to all passing ships, “No vessels are allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz,” causing a sudden 70% drop in traffic within 48 hours.
As of March 1, over 150 oil tankers and LNG ships are anchored in the open waters of the Persian Gulf, and about 170 container ships (totaling 450,000 TEU, accounting for 1.4% of global capacity) are stranded inside the bay.
However, Tehran has not issued an official blockade order—Foreign Minister Araghchi stated on Al Jazeera that “there is currently no intention to close the strait.”
This seemingly contradictory signal actually constitutes a sophisticated gray-zone strategy: without the need for mine-laying to block the route, low-cost deterrence alone is enough to effectively paralyze the world’s most critical energy chokepoint.
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The Strait of Hormuz is experiencing the most severe de facto blockade in history.
After the “Epic Fury” joint military operation on February 28, 2026, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard broadcasted on VHF Channel 16 to all passing ships, “No vessels are allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz,” causing a sudden 70% drop in traffic within 48 hours.
As of March 1, over 150 oil tankers and LNG ships are anchored in the open waters of the Persian Gulf, and about 170 container ships (totaling 450,000 TEU, accounting for 1.4% of global capacity) are stranded inside the bay.
However, Tehran has not issued an official blockade order—Foreign Minister Araghchi stated on Al Jazeera that “there is currently no intention to close the strait.”
This seemingly contradictory signal actually constitutes a sophisticated gray-zone strategy: without the need for mine-laying to block the route, low-cost deterrence alone is enough to effectively paralyze the world’s most critical energy chokepoint.