Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Stock Q4 Earnings Ahead – Estimates, Key KPIs to Watch

FomoAnxiety · 2026-03-02T07:31:51+00:00

Rigetti Computing is set to report its Q4 fiscal 2025 results on March 4, with expectations of a narrower loss and slight sales growth. Key metrics like Remaining Performance Obligations (RPOs) are crucial for assessing future revenue. Despite a year-to-date stock drop of over 21%, analysts have a Moderate Buy consensus, suggesting potential upside.

FomoAnxiety

2026-03-02 07:31:51

Abstract generation in progress

Quantum-computing company Rigetti Computing RGTI -6.55% ▼ will release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results after the market closes on Wednesday, March 4. Investors should monitor consensus estimates and Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) ahead of results, as they serve as important benchmarks for gauging both market sentiment and company performance, with beats or misses often driving sharp stock price reactions.

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Expectations from RGTI

The Street expects Rigetti to post a narrower loss of $0.03 per share, compared to $0.08 per share reported last year. Sales are forecast to rise 2.6% year-over-year to $2.33 million.

For Rigetti, Remaining Performance Obligations (RPOs) stand out as the vital KPI, highlighting the value of contracted work yet-to-be-completed, providing insight into future revenue streams and the company’s ability to deliver on existing commitments.

RGTI stock has dropped more than 21% year-to-date, tracking a widespread tech sector selloff amid valuation and AI disruption concerns.

Why RPOs Matter for RGTI

Rigetti’s RPOs have been volatile, with a notable dip in early 2025, but have recovered since. RPOs capture the value of unsatisfied contracts for quantum processing units (QPUs), cloud access, and related services, offering visibility into future revenue amid volatile quarterly bookings. This metric is especially critical for RGTI, a pre-profit firm with high R&D burn, as it signals customer commitment and backlog stability beyond one-off sales.

Rigetti recently delayed the launch of its 108-qubit system, Cepheus-1-108Q, to the end of Q1 FY26. Meanwhile, investors will watch if the company is able to deliver on its 100+ qubit chiplet-based quantum system with 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity by the end of 2025, as promised.

Is RGTI Stock a Buy?

Ahead of the results, analysts remain divided about Rigetti’s outlook. On TipRanks, RGTI stock has a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on five Buys and two Hold ratings. The average Rigetti Computing price target of $38.75 implies 122.5% upside potential from current levels.

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