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Fed Goes Hawkish in Late-Night Announcement! After Reducing High-Level ETH Short Positions, Hold Your Core Position Steady 🚨
Stayed up till early morning to catch Powell's full press conference, and my previous bearish thesis just got solidified ✅
Here's the most comprehensive breakdown for those who didn't stay up 👇
✅ Rate Cut Expectations Cut to Zero: Maintaining one rate cut in 2026, but more officials leaning toward zero cuts. Powell stated "without inflation improvement, rates won't be cut under any circumstances"
✅ Rates Sitting on the Edge of Tightening: Current rates at the high end of the neutral zone, right on the borderline between "tight and not tight," explicitly targeting sustained moderate tightening. Liquidity is completely locked down!
✅ Rate Hike Expectations Now on the Table: The meeting discussed the possibility of rate hikes. While most don't see it as the base case, the hawkish tone is maxed out, definitively killing any hopes of monetary easing!
✅ Inflation Sources Clarified: Confirmed inflation isn't from the labor market. Main drivers are commodities, tariffs, and energy shocks. Middle East conflicts bring massive uncertainty—even Powell joked economic forecasts are like "guessing blindly"!
For us bears, this is the perfect confidence booster 💊
For those who reduced positions at high levels with me and locked in profits:
Hold your core position steady! Don't make unnecessary moves!
The trend is crystal clear: high rates lock down liquidity, risk assets face headwinds across the board, there's simply no reason for a reversal! Don't get fooled by short-term rallies into chasing buys. We're playing for big-trend profits!
💡 Trading Reminders:
• We've already reduced at high levels; the remaining core position is for riding the trend. Bring your stop-loss, let profits run!
• Ignore calls to buy the dip. Right now we just stay hawkish with the Fed to the end; our bearish logic remains unchanged!
• Small position sizes for big trends—steady gains are the sustainable approach!
#美联储利率决议