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The Fed doesn't lack the desire to cut rates right now—it's waiting for a harder reason. Inflation hasn't completely capitulated, and if employment starts to weaken, the rate-cutting window will naturally open up later. What the market is focusing on next is no longer just inflation, but rather who caves first—that will determine the pace of rate cuts.
If employment truly weakens, late-year rate cuts this year will likely be more than just talk 😂