Morning Big Bitcoin Long Trading Strategy

I. Technical Analysis

1. Support Structure
- The intraday low of 67300 is a key support level. The 15-minute K-line has tested this level multiple times without effectively breaking below it, accompanied by long lower wicks, indicating strong buying pressure below—a short-term technical bottom.

- Price is currently oscillating in the 67800-68200 range, which represents a consolidation phase after the decline, building momentum for a subsequent rebound.

2. Volume and Sentiment
- During the morning decline, trading volume expanded, with some selling pressure released. Current low-volume oscillation indicates panic sentiment has eased, with signs of gradual long entry.

- Net capital outflow has narrowed, open interest remains stable. Market sentiment has shifted from extreme bearishness to neutrality, providing a foundation for a rebound.

3. Pattern Signals

- The 15-minute level shows a reversal K-line combination (red candles gradually expanding, increased lower wicks). Short-term moving averages show an upward inflection trend. Breaking above and holding 68000 will open upside space.

II. Logic and Risk

✅ Core Long Logic

1. Oversold Correction: Intraday decline from high of 69555 to 67300 represents a maximum drawdown exceeding 3%—a short-term oversold condition with technical rebound demand.
2. Valid Support: 67300 as the intraday low is a market consensus key support level. Before a breakdown, it can be viewed as the safe lower bound for long positioning.
3. Sentiment Recovery: Following morning panic selling, capital return intent strengthens. Absent major negative news, price will tend toward mean reversion.

Entry Conditions:
Wait for the 15-minute K-line to close positive and hold above 67900, or support emerges when price pullbacks to the 67500–67700 range, accumulating positions in tranches.

Stop-Loss Setting:
Unified stop-loss at 67200. Once price breaks below the intraday low with volume expansion by 200 points, exit immediately to confirm breakout.

Target Zones:
- First Target: 68500 (replenish prior consolidation midpoint, can reduce position)
- Second Target: 69200 (replenish intraday decline, maintain remaining position for higher levels)

Note: If lowest point is broken, follow the trend and pursue shorts #TradFi首创多倍杠杆