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The biggest winner between the US and Iran has emerged, Li Ka-shing is making a fortune!
Ask AI · How did Li Ka-shing use fluctuations in oil prices to achieve long-term gains?
30 days after the Iran-U.S. war started, oil prices rose above $100, and Li Ka-shing made a killing.
He holds a 27% stake in Cenovus Energy Group, whose daily crude oil output has already exceeded 1 million barrels. What does that mean? It’s higher than the amount the whole of the United Kingdom uses in a single day—nearly matching Venezuela. Based on a $100 oil price, this company brings in more than 700 million RMB every day, with profits taking up the biggest share. It’s not that the wealth rivals a whole country—his oil rivals a whole country.
By the way, you can’t buy oil at 100—real Middle East oil prices are already 160 per barrel……
Li Ka-shing prepared for this war for 40 years.
In 1986, when oil prices fell to $11 a barrel, no one dared to touch it. Li Ka-shing pulled out HKD 3.2 billion to take a 40% stake in Canada’s Husky Energy, and then gradually increased his holdings to over 70%. Over the next decade or so, oil prices were dead still, and Husky lost HKD 5 million every day. But Li Ka-shing was a king of cash—he held on.
After 2000, China and other emerging markets began to gain momentum, and oil prices surged all the way to $140. Husky’s market value climbed to its peak; just from dividends alone, he took in more than $8 billion—more than from real estate, retail, and telecommunications combined. Li Ka-shing said in his own words that this was the greatest investment of his life.
In 2015, oil prices crashed, dropping from 90 to 30. Husky’s stock price was cut in half, and its market value evaporated by more than 130 billion RMB. He remained the richest Chinese for 15 years, but Wang Jianlin took it away. In 2020, oil prices hit new lows again, and he even handed over the title of Hong Kong’s richest person to Wang Wei. Everyone was urging Li Ka-shing to exit, but he didn’t…… He kept going until today……
Many people say that rich people bet on a lot of industries, and there’s always one they get right. But after more than 40 years, which domestic tycoon hasn’t tried cross-industry moves? Yet the title of richest person keeps changing year after year—only Li Ka-shing still stands unshaken.
To be honest, the kind of play Li Ka-shing runs is something ordinary people can’t learn. What he used was hundreds of billions in cash, 40 years of time, transnational connections, and a top-tier intelligence network. But the underlying logic can still be learned:
1)He really is greedy when others are afraid. In 1986, when oil prices crashed, he entered. In 2020, when the pandemic caused oil prices to crash again, he entered again. Every time, he makes his move when the market is at its most panic-stricken, and he always keeps cash on hand, never borrowing money to gamble.
2)Safety, safety, and still safety. He chose Canada, not the Middle East, not Russia, not Venezuela—what he was after was stability. Even after a war breaks out, his oil fields still keep producing oil, so there’s no need to fear confiscation. This is about calculating risk first, then returns.
3)Never add leverage to gamble. This chess game has been going for nearly 40 years. In the first several decades, it might not have made much money, but they can afford to wait. The problem with ordinary people is that they can’t wait—but at least they can learn to invest using money they don’t need in the long term, rather than risking the money meant for buying a home in a single bet.
By the way. His mysterious medical system has been in investment and development for 30 years, aiming to fight the decisive battle in 2030—when he can make an even bigger windfall.
You think Li Ka-shing is on level 5—actually, he’s on level 10. You think he’s on level 10? He’s laying out plans on level 20. He has the ability to access top-tier circle-layer information, and his execution is extremely strong.