Gate Instant Trends

The US-Iran situation dominates the crypto market—how do geopolitical risks affect the price movement of crypto assets?

On May 22, 2026, the U.S.-Iran situation once again became a core variable driving global financial markets. Iranian media earlier claimed that the final draft of a U.S.-Iran agreement had been reached and would be published within a few hours, but this was immediately rebutted by Al Jazeera, which said the report was “fabricated.” U.S. Secretary of State Rubio later clarified that while the negotiations had made progress, there was no guarantee of a final deal, and he did not want to appear ove

NG-0.13%

STX2.11%

BTC1.79%

ETH2.7%

05-22 07:02

Crypto institutional capital flows: Are large net outflows from ETFs a hedge or a structural adjustment?

Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of 942 BTC on May 21, worth about $72.66 million; over the past 7 days, the cumulative net outflow was 15,915 BTC, about $1.23 billion. On the same day, Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of 15,222 ETH, worth about $32.44 million; over the past 7 days, the cumulative net outflow was 114,871 ETH, about $244.79 million. If the time window is extended to an earlier week—up to the week of May 15—spot Bitcoin ETFs saw total net redemptions of about $1 billion, en

BTC1.79%

ETH2.7%

SOL1.86%

05-22 07:46

Polymarket Hot Prediction: Will OpenAI IPO This Year?

Stocks

AI Industry News

Prediction Market

As of May 22, 2026, contracts on the prediction platform Polymarket for “When will OpenAI conduct its IPO?” have become a hot prediction topic, with total trading volume exceeding $1.5 million. Market funds are significantly prefer the Q4 window: the probability of listing before September 30 is 41%, while the probability of listing before December 31 rises to 71%. Click to participate in the prediction This expectation did not come out of nowhere. In mid-May, SpaceX officially filed its IPO reg

POLYMARKET-5.93%

GS0.84%

MS0.11%

KALSHI-1.59%

05-22 03:41

Markets are restarting the discussion about interest rate hikes? Bitcoin and oil prices are becoming the key global risk sentiment indicators

Since May 2026, global macro traders and Crypto market participants have noticed a notable shift: discussions about whether the “rate-hiking cycle” has truly ended are flaring up again. Unlike the dominance of rate-cut expectations for most of 2025, the market’s pricing weight for a potential re-hike by major central banks is rising. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and crude oil have shown highly synchronized volatility characteristics across multiple time dimensions. This phenomenon raises deeper questions:

BTC1.79%

CL-7.52%

XCU1.17%

05-21 13:12

Prediction Market

Stocks

🔥 Polymarket Top Prediction: What price will NVDA reach in May? NVIDIA's latest earnings report shows revenue of $81.61B, far exceeding market expectations. How high can NVDA stock go? Currently, market predictions are concentrated between $192 and $248, with the highest probability at $240. Join now to participate in the Gate price prediction and bet on your judgment!

POLYMARKET-5.93%

NVDAX2.54%

05-21 05:17

SpaceX officially files for an IPO: SPCX targets the largest-ever listing in its history

Stocks

bitcoin news

dogecoin news

On May 20, 2026 (local time), SpaceX officially filed an S-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, planning to list on Nasdaq under the stock ticker SPCX. Underwriters include Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Securities, Citigroup, and JPMorgan Securities. Although the S-1 filing has not yet disclosed the specific number of shares to be issued or the pricing range, market estimates put SpaceX’s target valuation for this IPO between $1.75 trillion

SPCX3.36%

BTC1.79%

DOGE1.46%

05-21 05:08

Polymarket’s trending prediction: what price will NVIDIA stock reach in May 2026?

Stocks

Prediction Market

Based on Polymarket prediction platform data, “What price will NVIDIA reach in May?” The total contract trading volume has reached $510,000, indicating high market attention. Looking at the specific bet distribution, $240 accounts for a 30% probability weight, $248 is 20%, $256 is 7%, and $264 is 5%. On the downside, $192 has a 16% probability, $184 is 8%, $176 is 6%, $168 is 2%, while the probability of dropping below $160 is only 1%. This distribution is not a symmetric shape, suggesting that

POLYMARKET-5.93%

05-21 02:47

Bitcoin Pizza Day 16 Years On: From buying pizza for 10,000 BTC to “just holding and never spending”—why has BTC’s payment function become all but obsolete?

On-Chain Data

Market Analysis

On May 22, 2026, Bitcoin Pizza Day returned once again. Community members gathered to celebrate, merchants rolled out discounts, and Crypto platforms launched all kinds of marketing plans—everything across the industry was lively. But a curious phenomenon is emerging: in a festival named after Bitcoin, participants’ actual payment behavior is quietly sidestepping BTC in unison. People use USDT to buy pizza, use ETH to settle, and even use Exchange Tokens to join in—yet BTC is excluded from the p

BTC1.79%

ETH2.7%

ORDI-0.25%

05-20 12:28

Rising expectations of regulatory transparency: How the CLARITY Act’s progress is reshaping the classification of crypto assets and the market landscape

On May 14, 2026, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee passed the “Digital Assets Market Structure Act” (CLARITY Act) by a vote of 15 in favor and 9 against, and the bill officially moved into the full Senate for consideration. On the same day, the Polymarket prediction market raised the probability that the bill would become law in 2026 to 68%, the highest level since the legislative process began. This is a key inflection point in U.S. Crypto regulation, as it shifts from “enforcement-led regulati

BTC1.79%

ETH2.7%

SOL1.86%

POLYMARKET-5.93%

05-20 09:25

The US-Iran situation dominates the crypto market—how do geopolitical risks affect the price movement of crypto assets?

Previous

Crypto institutional capital flows: Are large net outflows from ETFs a hedge or a structural adjustment?

Polymarket Hot Prediction: Will OpenAI IPO This Year?

Markets are restarting the discussion about interest rate hikes? Bitcoin and oil prices are becoming the key global risk sentiment indicators

SpaceX officially files for an IPO: SPCX targets the largest-ever listing in its history

Polymarket’s trending prediction: what price will NVIDIA stock reach in May 2026?

Bitcoin Pizza Day 16 Years On: From buying pizza for 10,000 BTC to “just holding and never spending”—why has BTC’s payment function become all but obsolete?

Rising expectations of regulatory transparency: How the CLARITY Act’s progress is reshaping the classification of crypto assets and the market landscape