LeverageLatte

Crypto界网 reports that Kalshi's prediction of the probability of Bitcoin falling below $50k in 2026 has risen to 40%.
On May 23, after Bitcoin's price dropped below $75,000, market sentiment turned bearish.
Although Bitcoin rebounded to $82,000 earlier this month, the current trading price is $75,410, and the ETF market has also seen continued withdrawals by institutional investors, resulting in the highest weekly outflow from Bitcoin ETFs since January over the past week.

CryptoWorld News reports that on May 23rd local time, the Israel Defense Forces announced that early that morning they attacked Hezbollah underground facilities in the Beqaa Valley, Lebanon, which had been used for weapons manufacturing. Additionally, the IDF also announced strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure located in Tyre.

Alibaba releases Qoder 1.0, upgrading its positioning from an AI IDE to an autonomous agent development workspace. The Quest mode becomes an independent window, where developers set goals and the intelligent agent handles the entire process. The new version supports cross-codebase parallel multi-project tasks within a unified panel, automatically generating delivery checklists with documentation and code changes upon completion. It introduces a team-level knowledge engine, increasing code retention by 11% and reducing dialogue rounds by 33%; and also introduces expert groups and customizable dedicated intelligent agent teams.

CryptoWorld News reports that in the first 20 days of May, South Korea's exports increased by 52.6%, mainly driven by a surge in demand for artificial intelligence, with semiconductor exports growing by 202% year-over-year.

CryptoWorld News: Renowned trader Loracle has reduced his short position of 5,119 HYPE tokens in the HyperLiquid ecosystem, approximately worth $2.65M.
The current holdings amount to $111 million, with an average price of $45.26, and a current profit and loss of -$29.73 million (-133.96%).
The current token price is $61.82, and the liquidation price is $90.01.

BlockBeats: In Q1 2026, OpenAI's revenue is approximately $5.7 billion, with Anthropic's annualized revenue around $45 billion, the former slightly ahead; OpenAI's Q1 loss rate is -122%, driven by Codex, enterprise, and advertising testing, with $122 billion in funding, while Anthropic seeks $30 billion, and both plan to go public in Q4 2026. ChatGPT has 905 million monthly active users, not reaching the 1 billion target, but growth rebounded after the launch of GPT-5.5 and new image models; 55 million personal paid users, aiming to achieve $102 billion in annual revenue from advertising before 2030.

ME News May 15 (UTC+8) Market Data: The largest increases are Yooldo $ESPORTS up 27.54%, TROLL (SOL) $TROL up 27.35%, BILL Billions Network $BILL up 19.31%; the largest decreases are siren $SIREN down 54.05%, BUILDon $B down 26.14%, $SKYAI down 19.82%. Source: MLion.

CryptoWorld News reports that, according to The Information, OpenAI founder Sam Altman hinted on Wednesday that even if the company has filed for an IPO, the actual listing may still be delayed.

ME News Report, May 15 (UTC+8), 0x Co-CEO Will Warren tweeted that he will step down but remains a major shareholder and will continue to serve on the board. "Our industry has entered a new phase. It is highly competitive with many participants. Certain aspects of our organizational structure and operational model have slowed us down in recent years, with the co-CEO structure being a major factor." (Source: Foresight News)

CryptoWorld News reports that the U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense stated that other companies are willing to collaborate with Anthropic.

CryptoWorld News reports that Federal Reserve's Barkin stated he does not believe that the net impact of artificial intelligence on employment will be negative, but he pointed out that the transition period could be challenging.

ME News Report, May 15 — Prediction market data shows that within 24 hours, multiple addresses concentrated on the event "Celtics vs Lakers" and chose the outcome "Celtics," with a total bet amount of approximately $1.45M, indicating that this result received significant funding attention in a short period.

ME News Report, May 15 (UTC+8), the Inclusive AI team released the ARGenSeg-8B model, dedicated to advancing and popularizing artificial intelligence through open source and open science. This initiative emphasizes technological democratization, enabling a broader community to participate in AI research and application. The open source strategy will promote collaborative innovation, accelerate the deployment of AI tools in diverse scenarios, lower technical barriers, and foster the open development of the industry ecosystem. (Source: AiHot)

CryptoWorld News reports that prediction markets show the current popular event in the “Macroeconomics” sector is the largest company at the end of May—Nvidia—with a probability as high as 99%. As of 14:43 on May 21, 2026 (UTC), the event’s 24-hour trading volume is approximately $740k, bringing the cumulative trading volume to $7.4 million, with a liquidity pool of $725k. The event is scheduled to end on May 31, 2026 (UTC).

Sony announces that its blockchain business is moving from the experimental stage toward commercialization, focusing on IP on the chain as the core direction, building an ecosystem based on Ethereum Layer 2 with Soneium, which includes DApps, incubation program SPARK, and the exchange S.BLOX; currently selecting 23 projects out of more than 2,000 for investment, and preparing GP/LP funds to attract external capital, exploring ways to activate IP assets in music, gaming, film, and television through blockchain, and promoting the design of related legal systems.

The Iranian ambassador to France stated that Iran is in discussions with Oman to establish a permanent toll system to formalize control over maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, and he said that providing security and navigation management requires costs, which beneficiary countries should also share; he emphasized that the toll system will be transparent, and if countries hope to ease the situation, they should focus on addressing the root causes.

CryptoWorld News reports that market data shows the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike has risen to 52%, while the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield has broken through 5%.
This change has intensified the tightening of the financial environment, putting greater pressure on stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Traders expect the Fed to raise interest rates again within the year, with the likelihood exceeding 50%, marking the first time since the tightening cycle that market expectations for rate hikes have significantly surpassed those for rate cuts.
The recent auction clearing yield for the 30-year Treasury bond is approximately 5.06%, with secondary market trading close to 5.1%, the highest level since the global financial crisis.
As real yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding high-volatility assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum increases, leading to a de-risking of the market toward risk assets.

BlockBeats News, May 21 — The bipartisan hybrid PAC “Blockchain Leadership Fund,” founded jointly by Anchorage Digital and Chainlink in March of this year, announced its first endorsement list for the 2026 midterm elections, supporting multiple candidates from both the Republican and Democratic parties for Congress in the form of campaign donations.

These endorsements cover Senate candidates Barry Moore, Kurt Alme, Jon Husted, and Angie Craig, as well as House candidates Houston Gaines, Jim Kingston, Jon Bonck, Adrian Boafo, Christian Menefee, and Don

BlockBeats News, May 21 — According to on-chain analyst Ai Aunt (@ai_9684xtpa), the "BTC OG Insider Whale" has once again recharged 9 million USDC to Hyperliquid, with a total recharge of $19.01 million since yesterday. The current buying actions of this whale include:

Placing buy orders for HYPE: Planning to buy $1.15 million worth of HYPE within the $49.725 - $52.36 range (currently holding $2.48 million in spot);

Going long on BTC: Currently holding 504.4 units of 5x BTC long positions, valued at $38.95 million, with an unrealized loss of $85k.