有个观点最近在市场里炸了，说比特币到2026年可能会暴跌88%，最低砸到1万美元。听着挺吓人的，不过这种预测你得琢磨琢磨。

这个看法出自某家大型金融机构的策略分析团队。他们认为加密市场面临重大调整风险，给出的理由是比特币当前估值存在泡沫。虽然一口气跌88%听起来有点耸人听闻，但在币圈这种预测其实并不少见——从来都是有人喊涨，有人喊跌。

关键是怎么看。这种长期预测往往基于宏观经济周期 и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и и 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