📊 Analysis Company Lists Short-Term Expectations for Bitcoin Price!


The upward momentum that recently drove Bitcoin to break through $76,000 has weakened.
After a rapid surge, Bitcoin has pulled back to the $72,000 level, with Singapore-based analysis firm QCP Capital releasing the latest analysis.
QCP Capital states that Bitcoin is trading in a narrow range between $73,000 and $74,000, affected by macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, particularly the US-Iran conflict.
At this time, QCP Capital believes that Bitcoin lacks the upward momentum to break through local highs following the recent rally.
On-chain capital flows indicate buying pressure at the lower end of the range, but spot trading volumes remain relatively low.
Analysts point out that although Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market are under pressure due to this data, losses are relatively limited compared to declines in other macro-sensitive risk assets.
On the other hand, the options market maintains a stable but defensive stance.
Analysts note that the 30-day implied volatility (IV) is maintained at around 50% (higher than realized volatility), supporting options sellers.
From a macroeconomic perspective, this week proves to be extremely important for central banks.
The Federal Reserve announced its decision in March today, followed by the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Japan (BOJ), and Bank of England (BOE) on Thursday.
With interest rate decisions approaching, oil prices near $100 per barrel have significantly reduced market expectations for Fed policy easing, thus complicating the interest rate cut issue.
Analysts point out that for cryptocurrencies this means the same thing: the interest rate environment becomes less supportive rather than more supportive.
In the current environment, Bitcoin is viewed not only as a high-beta risk asset but has yet to be recognized as a stable safe-haven asset.
BTC-4,98%
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