BTC (Bitcoin) Analysis

1. Price Structure and Fibonacci:
Current price: $70,187
Fibonacci retracement range: High $90,593 → Low $59,921
0.382: $71,780
0.5: $75,441 ← Key resistance level
0.618: $79,102
Current price is trading below 0.382 and has just broken below this level, indicating exhaustion of rebound momentum.
2. MACD & Moving Averages:
MACD consolidating near zero line, red histogram shrinking → Bullish momentum weakening.
EMA200 at $89,392, significantly above current price → Long-term trend remains bearish.
Price suppressed by EMA200, rebounds fail to break through.
Short-term weakness with risk of testing $68,000–69,000 support; if broken, opens toward $65,000.
ETH (Ethereum) Analysis
1. Price Structure and Fibonacci:
Current price: $2,174
Fibonacci retracement range: High $3,042 → Low $1,745
0.382: $2,240
0.5: $2,394
0.618: $2,547
Price has broken below 0.382 ($2,240), currently testing 0.191 ($1,993) support.
2. MACD & Moving Averages:
MACD death cross with expanding green histogram → Bearish momentum strengthening.
EMA200 at $1,995, close to current price → If broken, confirms breakdown. Weaker than BTC, has already broken key support, near-term target looking toward $2,050–2,100; if EMA200 is broken, acceleration of downtrend expected.