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U.S. President Trump has recently announced at multiple public events that the selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair is nearing its final phase, reiterating his dissatisfaction with Chair Powell. Now that key White House advisors are among the top contenders, market participants are reevaluating the future policy direction. They are also considering the possible implications for the Federal Reserve's independence.

Prediction market data indicates a notable increase in the likelihood of BlackRock executive Rick Rieder emerging as a potential Federal Reserve chair nominee in a Trump administration, leading to short-term volatility in the dollar, U.S. Treasury bonds, and U.S. equities.

Trump has announced that he will disclose his choice for Federal Reserve Chair on Friday. Growing market anticipation around the candidates could influence both interest rates and the dollar's movement. This article provides insight into the Federal Reserve's potential direction and offers risk advisories for investors.

The race to select the next Federal Reserve Chair has reached a pivotal stage, as sources within the White House point to Kevin Hassett, the current Director of the National Economic Council, as the frontrunner. Hassett’s close alignment with President Trump’s preference for lowering interest rates has influenced market expectations. As a result, markets are beginning to anticipate a shift toward a more accommodative monetary policy.

With speculation mounting that President Trump may restructure the Federal Reserve’s leadership early next year, Polymarket’s latest prediction market data has become a focal point. The betting odds now show a widening gap among several leading candidates.

RESOLV, a stablecoin protocol, has activated its "fee switch" feature, channeling up to 10% of daily protocol revenue into the treasury to incentivize stakers and foster ecosystem growth. This article provides an in-depth analysis of its core mechanisms and tokenomics, drawing comparisons with Ethena (ENA) by examining FDV/TVL ratios, TVL growth performance, and revenue structure. The goal is to assess RESOLV’s value capture potential and future growth prospects, making this piece an essential reference for those seeking new opportunities in the yield-bearing stablecoin space.

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins recently reaffirmed his token classification framework in a public setting, stressing that most tokens issued via ICOs should not be classified as securities. This stance signals a potential narrowing of the SEC’s regulatory purview. Should this approach be implemented, it would reinvigorate the ICO market and may pave the way for a more flexible role for the CFTC, further accelerating the resurgence of the U.S. Web3 fundraising landscape.

Tensions between Trump and Powell have intensified over seven years, leading to escalating power struggles. If Trump forces the Federal Reserve Chair to resign, global markets could experience severe volatility. The cryptocurrency sector would likely be significantly affected as well.

Investor sentiment is cautious, mainly due to a stronger US dollar, slowing spot demand, and the market awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s upcoming speech at Jackson Hole.

Gate Research (January 18-24, 2025) – This report comprehensively analyzes key developments in the cryptocurrency market and the broader macroeconomic landscape. On January 20, Trump's inaugural speech did not address cryptocurrencies, leading to noticeable volatility in the crypto market. On January 21, Trump nominated Caroline Pham as the acting chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). On January 22, Trump announced a $500 billion AI project in partnership with three major tech giants.

Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish comments and the higher-than-expected core PCE have weakened expectations for rate cuts in 2025, further dampening bullish sentiment. In the near term, the main focus is on whether the price can recover and hold above $116,000.

Skepticism persists in the Bitcoin derivatives market regarding bullish momentum. Although the Federal Reserve kept rates steady at 3.75% and launched $40 billion in Treasury purchases to enhance liquidity, Chair Powell underscored ongoing labor market weakness and inflationary risks. Dissent from two committee members further signals internal divisions.

The Trump administration advocated for cryptocurrency-friendly policies—such as nominating the Chair of the SEC, banning the federal government from issuing a CBDC, creating U.S. national Bitcoin reserves, and enacting the Genius Act—to position the United States as a global leader in cryptocurrency. These moves loosened regulatory restrictions, energized the market, and sparked debates about ethical standards and transparency.

Gate Research Daily Report: BTC and ETH prices are currently in a consolidation range, with BTC's price rising by 0.20% over the past 24 hours. Ethereum Layer-2 protocol transaction throughput hits a new high, with BASE leading the growth, accounting for 67%. Trump signs an executive order on cryptocurrency, exploring a national crypto asset reserve. Senator Lummis is appointed chair of the Senate Banking Subcommittee on Digital Assets, promoting Bitcoin as a strategic reserve. The SEC withdraws SAB 121, allowing banks to custody cryptocurrencies.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 21, Raydium fees hit an all-time high of $32.42 million. B² TVL surpassed $380 million, also setting a new historical peak. Digital asset investment products saw inflows of $2.2 billion last week, with $2 billion of that coming from U.S. funds. President-elect Trump nominated Caroline Pham as the acting chair of the CFTC. World Liberty increased its holdings of various crypto assets by over $51 million. The Ethereum Foundation will allocate 50,000 ETH to participate in the DeFi ecosystem, with test transactions already conducted on Aave.