Analyst: Bitcoin Has Transitioned from Distribution Phase to Accumulation Phase, Selling Pressure Drops to One-Sixth of Cycle Average

BTC2,63%

Gate News, March 13 — CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the last time the seller risk ratio showed active selling pressure signals was in December 2024 (around $107,000). Since then, this signal has remained off. Currently, the model indicates an accumulation signal, with selling pressure online reduced to about one-sixth of the average level during this cycle. The indicator is still declining and has returned to levels seen during the 2022-2023 bear market, when Bitcoin prices ranged between $16,000 and $20,000.

The current cycle has moved past the distribution phase and re-entered the accumulation phase, which is still ongoing. The 180-day rolling average has fallen to 1,913, a level typically associated with bear markets in history, but at that time, prices were only between $16,000 and $20,000, whereas current prices are between $67,000 and $72,000. The current market state is neutral leaning towards accumulation. The main risk is that, without price catalysts, the market could enter a prolonged consolidation, causing the rolling average SRR indicator to continue declining.

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