Power Succession, Military Structure, and Cross-Border Capital: The Iranian Political Network of Muqtada al-Hamenei
Iranian politics will experience a power transition around 2026, with Mujaheda Khamenei's rise marking a tightening of the political structure and increased securitization. The rise of the Revolutionary Guard's status has strengthened control over politics and the economy, while the authority of religious institutions has been challenged. Economic resources are being reallocated through charitable organizations, and political alliances are increasingly dependent on these resources. International sanctions have driven the rise of digital finance, forming a multi-layered financial system. In the future, Iran's politics will rely more on security agencies and complex resource networks, with development paths influenced by both internal and external factors.