# Author: Phosphen **Compiled by:** Gans, Bagel Prediction Market Observer --- This man collected data from all professional tennis matches over the past 43 years, fed it all into a machine learning model, and asked just one question: Can you predict who will win? The model answered with a single word: Yes. Subsequently, at this year's Australian Open, it correctly predicted 99 out of 116 matches with an accuracy rate of 85%! This was an event the model had never seen during training, yet it even predicted every single match won by the eventual champion correctly. All of this was done with just a laptop, free data, and open-source code, created by @theGreenCoding. Next, I will completely break down this project that turned stone into gold, from raw data to final prediction success. This will be the most...

Author: darkzodchi Compiled by: Asher, Odaily Planet Daily After systematically analyzing over 112,000 Polymarket wallets and six months of on-chain data, a rather straightforward yet surprising result emerged. Approximately 87.3% of users ultimately incur losses on the platform. This analysis covers multiple key dimensions, including each on-chain transaction record, trading volume, win rate, profit and loss, market types participated in, entry time, and position size. The entire data整理 process took 3 weeks, and the final conclusion differs from many people's intuition. Many believe that top players in prediction markets often have some obvious advantage, such as insider information or using obscure complex calculation models. But based on the data, that's not the case. That 1%

WBC World Baseball Classic Group C's final game will be held tonight. South Korea needs to beat Australia to give the Chinese Taipei team a chance to advance, and must achieve an 8:3 point difference. Polymarket shows South Korea's win probability at 73%, but Chinese Taipei's advancement still depends on South Korea's performance. Despite the strong showing in the prediction market, there is still uncertainty in the situation.

The Taiwan team defeated South Korea 5-4 in the WBC qualifiers, keeping their hopes of advancing alive. If South Korea beats Australia tonight and scores 8 or more points, Taiwan can advance. Korean media pointed out that Taiwan's strength has improved, putting pressure on South Korea. The South Korean team is facing confusion in pitcher deployment, and the risk of elimination is increasing.

The Chinese Taipei team lost 0:3 to Australia in their first game of the 2026 World Baseball Classic, disappointing fans. The prediction market Polymarket shows Australia's win probability at 64%. However, traditional Taiwanese betting odds suggest that the Chinese Taipei team has a 70% chance of winning, indicating the influence of supporter bias. Analysis points out that Polymarket's predictions are more accurate, reflecting the benefits of diverse participants and data analysis, and highlighting the future potential of prediction markets.

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Shielded Labs is urging the Zcash community to move quickly on long-term sustainability changes, arguing that the network has a near-term opening to attract patient capital and should not wait for t

An address on Polymarket achieved a 12.6x return, demonstrating an early positioning phenomenon before market fluctuations. The article discusses how to identify wallets with informational advantages, including observing trading behavior, position structure, timing choices, and market focus, and proposes systematic methods to screen for potential "insider addresses." The key lies in uncovering the true informational value of on-chain transaction data and validating it with external information.