BTC #BTC Market Analysis #Join Growth Points Draw & Win iPhone 16 and Merch #New Coin Picks ارتدت to the price range 103000-104000, many imitators returned around 10%, the panic and greed index returned to the average of 50, and there was another howling in the market. Why do you say that when the market comes, it's dope? It seems that everyone's heart disease is at the cottage. In fact, today's price is the same as about a week ago, especially ETH, the representative of altcoins, the support level of 2450-2550 is very difficult, and ETF money continues to flow. Now if we are holding an imitator, we do not need to pay much attention to our own currency at the moment, and if we are holding the currency in the long term, it is useless to pay attention now. If you want to see it, just look at ETH, ETH can hold, and there will be hope that the imitator will be in our hands.

After reviewing the analysis of a group of analysts regarding the short-term movement of BTC, most of them believe that the decline will continue to deepen, with 60% seeing the price range between 101000-102000, and 30% seeing the price range between 92000-93000, while there are some who see the price around 88000. I believe that this situation is considered normal, and there is no need for pessimism. This pullback from the peak was something that could be anticipated, and the quarterly options for BTC and ETH were settled today at 16:00, and now the volume of sell contracts in the market is 1.3 times that of buy contracts. Considering the share of BTC.D in the market, I believe that the likelihood of a short-term recovery for BTC will be slightly high.
Tomorrow the monthly line will close, and this round of marches has already ended. When BTC enters a large sideways range, the main force will generally begin to allocate funds to valuable altcoins at this time. I believe that the experience in May has prepared everyone in advance for the future market trend, as BTC unexpectedly broke the previous high, and ETH also exited the relatively independent market. However, 80% of rural houses were without market heat and liquidity, and the market value dropped by 90% compared to the peak in December 2024. This confirms last year's judgment on this round of the bull market, the return to value, and the stability is always strong.
Yesterday, I explored the dynamics of a problem, which is the psychological torture of the mimicking centers, especially when the price relates to this center. How to choose has become a psychological barrier for most people, and this feeling of profit and loss is like a mountain pressing on the hearts of retail investors. In fact, I would like to understand a question: Are the mimicking centers decreasing for retail investors? However, from the perspective of ordinary people, it is difficult to form systematic and accurate data on the position of retail investors. Based on what I learned from the dynamic comment area, there should be many people who were fully invested before March 25, including myself. But since the end of April, retail investors' positions have slowly decreased during the rise of BTC, and most of my friends have started to reduce their positions, replacing them with U while waiting for the next round of retracement, and even some friends believe that a bear market is coming. That's why I said yesterday that this bull market seems strange.
After entering the year 2025, more people believe the rumors that there is no bull market for altcoin, and their faith and confidence in holding coins have gradually faded in light of many factors of uncertainty, as they handed over their shares amid frequent fluctuations and instability. Based on past experiences, I always believe that any bear market definitely occurs when there is widespread FOMO among individual investors, but currently, there has been no FOMO, so at this stage, we will not enter the bear market immediately.
In the information sources we can access, the status of ordinary individuals' holdings cannot be measured numerically in a specific way, but traders in various altcoins can certainly see it. You can ask the people around you; if everyone is reducing their holdings, or controlling them, or closing their positions, then the market in the upcoming period may be more optimistic. When most of us feel that a bear market is coming, and believe that the market is likely to drop, it makes the drop less likely.
In short, go back to your own position, I personally suggest that the long spot position can be reduced, can be defended, and can be sold at a high price, but the callback is really to boost confidence in being bullish, so even if you choose to reduce the position at the moment, waiting for a significant callback, it is better to hold a certain position, and you should be prepared to prevent selling. If you sell and wait for the callback, then suppose there is another unexpected pullback, I am sorry for the continuation of the last year or so.
At this stage, it is certainly the best time for a struggle between professional traders and individual investors. I advise against trying to prepare for a long-term bear market; you can try buying at price increases with a negative outlook, but be cautious when betting on a decline. Regarding questions in the comments section about specific months that will see a decline or increase, I do not have the ability to answer these types of questions, as current global liquidity does not provide conditions to push the market towards an upward trend. Even if good news comes from the Trump family, such as Vice President Vance appearing to announce deals—events that were previously unimaginable—the market will still decline. However, a rapid drop and rise in short times is definitely a signal for the start of a bull market. It is difficult to find a return to a bull market, and I fear that the market may suddenly start, and you may not be present in the vehicle.
As June approaches, my personal opinion regarding my positions is that I should not be blindly optimistic about the expectations of a bullish market, but I also cannot be rigid in my stance. I will continue to choose to hold coins with large positions while waiting, without making any adjustments. As for the coins with small positions, I will choose to set a stop loss while waiting for compensation. Since we cannot predict the future, what we can do is manage our positions well.
Any breakout that may occur under panic emotions, you might see 2450 of ETH today, and in two or three days it will become 3000, this has not only happened before but will definitely happen in any upcoming time period.
Happy Gingerbread Day, enjoy the holiday☕