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The big ones are coming! The Federal Reserve (FED) is setting the tone tonight, and the life-and-death window for large investors in the crypto world has arrived!
At 2 a.m. tonight, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's June meeting will reveal the policy direction for the second half of the year. For Large Investors in the crypto world holding tens of millions in funds, this document is not only a bellwether for traditional finance but may also become a trigger for the allocation of crypto assets. Minor changes in policy signals could sway profits and losses by hundreds of millions of dollars.
The current market is focused on whether there will be an interest rate cut in September. The June CPI is 3.3% and the employment data shows an increase of 206,000, presenting a cooling of inflation but resilient employment, leading to a division within the Federal Reserve (FED). Doves believe that inflation is under control and suggest that the interest rate cut window is approaching; hawks warn that service inflation is stubborn and advocate for maintaining high interest rates for a longer period.
If the minutes reveal a majority support for a rate cut in September, the US dollar index may plummet, and liquidity outflow will drive up BTC, targeting 112,000 and ETH targeting 2,800 dollars; on the contrary, if "hawks dominate," the crypto world may suffer from liquidity tightening shocks.
20%-30% position: Gradually reduce holdings when BTC is in the range of $108,000-$110,000 to avoid pullbacks caused by policies not meeting expectations;
40% Position: Dovish Scenario: Add BTC, ETH; Hawkish Scenario: Buy USD stablecoins for hedging, while paying attention to gold linkage opportunities;
Policies are just the fuse; the real opportunity for sudden wealth belongs to those who are positioned in advance. Market conditions change daily, and don't let your mindset get too tense. If you always feel like you're half a beat behind or are disturbed by market noise, feel free to chat with us. #biy #apay can provide you with **efficient, secure, and low-cost** cross-border payment solutions!
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