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#比特币行情预测
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a critical stage, currently consolidating near a dense liquidity cluster, with traders and investors eagerly watching whether it can break through the $116,000 resistance level. Recently, BTC has retraced from its historical high of $126,198, and has stabilized near a key support level, demonstrating resilience against volatility. Closely tracking its subsequent movements, historical patterns indicate that if it can hold the current support, BTC may experience a short-term rebound.
The key support level is solid, paving the way for a rebound.
Latest market data shows that BTC has consistently maintained a critical support range of $103,000 - $104,000. On October 24, 2025, the price of BTC was approximately $109,474, up 1.8% within 24 hours, having previously tested a low near $106,778. Prior to this, the BTC price had fallen 13% from the historical high of $126,198 set on October 6. Currently, BTC is holding onto key support, laying the groundwork for a rebound to the resistance level of $116,000, with the path to retest that resistance gradually opening up.
Historical data shows that after such support levels appear, in 68% of cases there will be a 5%-10% short-term rebound (since 2021). Liquidity clusters are consolidating, and a breakout may trigger a liquidation wave. BTC price has recently been consolidating within the narrow range of $106,000 - $112,000 and is attracted by the dense liquidity clusters.
The liquidity heatmap shows that these large order concentration areas usually pull price fluctuations. Currently, BTC is consolidating between $106,000 and $112,000, influenced by large-scale liquidity clusters. A breakout in either direction could trigger a chain liquidation. Past cases have confirmed this: on October 10-11, 2025, a downward breakout of a similar liquidity area led to $19 billion in liquidations, compounded by the escalation of trade tensions between China and the U.S., causing BTC to plummet 14% in a single day, before subsequently recovering. This narrow consolidation near liquidity clusters suggests that significant fluctuations may occur in the short term. Therefore, traders should pay close attention to these key price levels when considering Bitcoin investments or BTC futures trading.
The triple bottom pattern is emerging, indicating potential for long-term upward movement.
In 2025, BTC has formed a triple bottom pattern - hitting the bottom three times in April, June, and October during this cycle. It is expected that BTC will likely break historical highs in the coming weeks.
Historically, multiple low points during bull market cycles often indicate significant price increases. For example, after BTC dropped to around $77,000 in April, it surged over 50% to reach a mid-year high. These patterns align with the overall cycle lows and halving multiples, suggesting a long-term upside potential of 4-6 times.
Macroeconomic factors pose risks, and we need to be vigilant about uncertainty.
Despite the optimistic signals from the technical perspective, macroeconomic factors remain key influencing variables. Trade tensions, U.S. interest rate expectations, and global economic policies may pose resistance to BTC breaking through $116,000 and higher price levels. Investors are advised to remain cautious and develop risk management strategies, especially during BTC liquidation heat map warnings or significant price pullbacks. This also highlights the importance of understanding the Bitcoin mining mechanism and the impact of liquidity events on its total market value and price trends.
Market Outlook: $116,000 is the key to breakthrough
Currently, the BTC price is fluctuating around $109,700, having rebounded from a recent low of $106,700. If it can maintain the support level and the liquidity cluster becomes a springboard for upward movement rather than a resistance, BTC may revisit the previous resistance level around $116,000 in the coming weeks.