Analyzing the possible rebound points for ETH next week, important support levels below (buying points), and potential long wick candles triggered by information: This Thursday and Friday, ETH dropped 497 points from 3565, and based on Fibonacci retracement, the possible rebound points are 3257, 3316, and 3375 (maximum resistance). From the market data perspective, it is currently in a small-scale rebound process of 3-4 hours. After the rebound takes effect, the high points reached will be: 3-hour EMA30 (3274), 4-hour EMA30 (3312). The resistance for the rebound today and tomorrow (Sunday) is at: 6-hour EMA7 (3190), 8-hour EMA30 (3222), 12-hour EMA7 (3236). There is currently no sign of a daily chart-level rebound, so based on Fibonacci, it can be judged that the recent short-term resistance for ETH is in the range of 3222-3316, with significant pressure at 3316-3375. Next Monday, the U.S. government shutdown will end, and there may be a short-term long wick action upwards. If shorting on the rise, it’s best to set the defense above 3600. This defense does not mean it might reach 3600, but rather to avoid being mistakenly squeezed, which would not be cost-effective. The short-term support levels are 3112 and 3076 (monthly Bollinger middle band). If ETH cannot break above 3300 soon, the next step is to break below 3076 (if this level is breached, it may drop to 2880-2750). Then, the direction for the next 2-3 months will be very clear, which means the price will go from the monthly Bollinger middle band to the lower band, i.e., the price will gradually pull back from 3000 to 1600. From the current trends on the weekly and monthly charts, once the price drops below 2880, the fast and slow lines of the ETH monthly MACD will form a death cross. Next week, the daily MACD will drop to zero, and the weekly MACD is near the zero axis, indicating strong pressure from the large-scale short positions. Therefore, regardless of any favourable information, it is difficult to reverse the slowly declining main direction.