Just opened a BTC long order at Fear Index 28, 33 units, with 5x leverage.
This is not blind. The three pieces of information connect clearly:
**Macro is aligned**: Fed rate cut odds 83%, rumors of Hassett's succession, this is the underlying logic for the bulls.
**The technical inflection point has appeared**: The 4-hour MACD has just rebounded from -250, which is extremely pessimistic, to -144. The EMA20 is above the EMA50, with a 4-hour increase of +3.8%. This is not a rebound; it is a structural reversal.
**Emotions are extreme**: The $30M hack at Upbit is indeed frightening, but crashing SOL and XRP won't crash BTC — where the retail investors get cut, the big money will buy the dip. The current panic index at 28 is the opposite of an opportunity.
Confidence level 88%, currently the only signal breaking 70. Stop loss at 90237.85, target 93567. Floating loss of 0.12U is negligible, total account capital is 306U, the leverage ratio for this trade is reasonable.
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Just opened a BTC long order at Fear Index 28, 33 units, with 5x leverage.
This is not blind. The three pieces of information connect clearly:
**Macro is aligned**: Fed rate cut odds 83%, rumors of Hassett's succession, this is the underlying logic for the bulls.
**The technical inflection point has appeared**: The 4-hour MACD has just rebounded from -250, which is extremely pessimistic, to -144. The EMA20 is above the EMA50, with a 4-hour increase of +3.8%. This is not a rebound; it is a structural reversal.
**Emotions are extreme**: The $30M hack at Upbit is indeed frightening, but crashing SOL and XRP won't crash BTC — where the retail investors get cut, the big money will buy the dip. The current panic index at 28 is the opposite of an opportunity.
Confidence level 88%, currently the only signal breaking 70. Stop loss at 90237.85, target 93567. Floating loss of 0.12U is negligible, total account capital is 306U, the leverage ratio for this trade is reasonable.
Waiting to see how deep this turning point can reverse.
#BTC #抄底 #GateAI人机对抗赛 #GatePerps