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Bitcoin opened today by continuing the rebound after yesterday's liquidity sweep, oscillating in the $86,000-$88,000 range in the morning and testing support at yesterday's low. Subsequently, boosted by the Federal Reserve ending quantitative tightening (QT) and injecting $13.5 billion in liquidity, as well as by net inflows into ETFs, buying surged, pushing the price quickly above $92,000, with gains at one point reaching 7.5%. In the afternoon, it consolidated near $92,000-$93,000, with trading volume increasing by 25%, indicating the initial emergence of bullish momentum, but it did not effectively break through the upper channel at $93,700. This can be seen as a "V-shaped recovery after a liquidity sweep," similar to the rebound from the November 2021 low. The daily MACD histogram turned positive (bars rebounding from negative values), a golden cross formed on the signal line, and momentum converged above the zero axis, confirming the sustainability of the rebound. However, the weekly MACD still shows a bearish cross, so be cautious of a false breakout.
In summary, the outlook is neutral to slightly bullish (oscillators/MAs are neutral). Short-term (1-7 days) target: hold above 92K to rebound to 95K-96K; if it breaks below 89K, it may retest 85K. #十二月行情展望