Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto circle and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Sunday, December 14, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀Iron fans check-in👍Like and get rich🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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Saturday was a day of sideways consolidation within a small range. Recently, the "bitter market" in the crypto space has made countless investors feel anxious. The rally lacks momentum, and the decline shows no clear direction. Behind this frustrating volatility, the real issue is the ongoing uncertainty in global macro policies stirring market sentiment. The Federal Reserve's December rate cut of 25 basis points has been settled, but internal disagreements within decision-making circles and market speculation about holding rates steady in January have cast a shadow over the easing liquidity outlook. The most closely watched variable now is undoubtedly the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting—next Thursday to Friday (December 18-19). This final meeting of the year is widely regarded by the market as the "verdict moment" for the Bank of Japan to start raising interest rates. There are also reports that this rate hike is essentially confirmed, and BOJ Governor Ueda Kazuo will emphasize that domestic real borrowing costs are still negative, to justify further rate hikes. Wang Yibo will continue to monitor key signals such as the implementation of Fed policies, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time updates on strategic layout and target dynamics.

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It is necessary to clarify the relationship between Japan's long-term low interest rates and the crypto market. Since the 1990s, Japan has maintained zero or even negative interest rates for a long time. The yen has become a cheap financing currency globally, leading to large-scale carry trade transactions—investors borrow yen at low interest and invest in risk assets like cryptocurrencies to earn interest rate differentials. This type of trading has continuously injected liquidity into the global market and is an important source of funds supporting the prosperity of crypto assets. Logically, Japan's rate hikes will impact the crypto market. Rate hikes will increase the cost of yen financing, squeeze carry trade profits, strengthen the yen appreciation expectation, and force investors to close positions and sell off crypto and other overseas assets to repay debts, leading to a contraction of global liquidity. As high-risk, high-leverage assets, cryptocurrencies are prone to being the first to be sold off, causing price volatility. Rationally view this variable, be alert to selling pressure, and pay attention to the digestion of expectations and the hedging effects of Fed policies. In the current market environment, focusing on liquidity changes and sentiment shifts is key. Short-term volatility in the crypto market is inevitable, but trend reversals still require multiple core variables to resonate.

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Bitcoin started a retracement from the high of $92,600 on Friday evening, falling back to around $89,400, then entered a sideways consolidation mode throughout Saturday. The highest during the day reached near $90,600, and the lowest dipped to $89,720 in the early morning. Overall volatility narrowed. Currently, Bitcoin remains within this horizontal range, with both bulls and bears temporarily at a standstill, and no clear breakout direction yet. Market funds are cautious, waiting for a clear signal of accumulation. As it enters the sideways consolidation zone, trading sentiment is cautious, awaiting a definitive direction signal.

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Ethereum has been declining from the high of $3,250, retracing to a low of $3,043 for support. Yesterday morning, Ethereum consolidated around $3,080, and in the afternoon, it briefly gained strength, rising slightly to $3,133, but the upward momentum was not sustained, and it fell back into oscillation. By early morning, Ethereum showed a small spike, reaching $3,081 before quickly rebounding, returning to around $3,100 for consolidation. Short-term, there is no clear trend indication. All indicators show market sentiment is subdued, and the short-term pattern remains bearish oscillation. Operation-wise, it is recommended to stay patient and wait for clearer signals.