Bitcoin's four-year cycle pattern shows resilience, but the underlying mechanics have fundamentally shifted. Political cycles and market liquidity are now the primary drivers—not halving events anymore. Research from major crypto think tanks points to a compelling correlation: BTC's historical peak formations align more tightly with US election timelines than previously modeled. This suggests that macro policy uncertainty, capital flows, and geopolitical sentiment have become the dominant forces shaping Bitcoin's mid-term price cycles. Traders watching the halving schedule should pay closer attention to the broader political and monetary landscape instead.