#比特币价格走势 Reflecting on Bitcoin price movements, I am filled with emotion. Since its inception in 2009, it has experienced numerous ups and downs. Currently, Polymarket predicts a 51% chance of rising again to $100,000 this year, which reminds me of the 2017 bull market. Back then, everyone was shouting $100,000, but the price only reached around $20,000 before falling back. History is always astonishingly similar, and market sentiment is no exception.

However, the current market environment is significantly different. Institutional entry, clearer regulations, and Bitcoin ETFs are on the horizon. These factors could all potentially drive prices higher. On the other hand, the global economic situation remains complex, with geopolitical risks still present, which could serve as resistance to price increases.

Looking at Bitcoin's 13-year development, each bull and bear cycle continues to reshape the market landscape. Whether or not it ultimately reaches $100,000, it is crucial to recognize the long-term value and potential of this emerging asset class. For investors, rationally viewing short-term fluctuations and focusing on long-term trends is the key to success.