Dodged a major bullet on this OTC opportunity. The deal would've locked in tokens at around $1 with a 4-month vesting schedule—sounds reasonable on paper until you crunch the numbers. First unlock hits in just days, and we're talking an immediate 85%+ drawdown right out of the gate. That's the kind of loss that makes you wonder what went wrong.

The pattern here points to market maker activity, potentially large positions getting liquidated at key unlock moments. When you see these kinds of moves coordinated with vesting schedules, it's usually not coincidence. The timing and magnitude suggest someone with serious capital was distributing heavy into the unlock window.

Calls like this are why doing your homework on vesting mechanics matters just as much as the entry price. Sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make.