🚨 Recently, a new perspective has emerged on the often-discussed issue of quantum computing: Will Satoshi Nakamoto's 1 million $BTC be cracked and sold off?

Very interesting! The market always tends to enter a phase where "risk is priced based on imagination" at some point.

But even more interesting is that, throughout Bitcoin's history, all the reasons for its death sentence have ultimately turned into nodes of evolution.

Many discussions start with the question: Can quantum computers crack BTC? How long would that take?

This question itself tends to be somewhat media-driven. A more realistic question should be:

👉 If quantum computing truly becomes a tangible threat, will it appear as a sudden destruction or a slow encroachment?

The answer is the latter, and it would be a very slow, very engineering-driven approach. Currently, human technological levels are more than one order of magnitude behind.

So, it won't be a case of waking up one day to find #Bitcoin quantum-hacked; more likely is:

A national laboratory → an academic breakthrough → some repeatable engineering validation → a small-scale experimental attack → industry begins to respond

In other words, it's a threat that could be observed years in advance, not a black swan that arrives suddenly.

This is very important, as it directly negates the narrative of "suddenly emptying Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet."

The reason is simple:

A truly capable quantum computer attacking ECDSA would be a national-level resource. Its first priority wouldn't be to crash Bitcoin's price;

They care more about: military communications, intelligence systems, financial clearing, the cryptography of hostile nations...

How much market value does Bitcoin hold? How does attacking it compare to destroying a warehouse with a nuclear bomb in terms of cost-effectiveness?

So, if I had to set a timeframe for the quantum threat, I believe—

In the next 5 years, it can be almost ignored;
In 5-15 years, it could reach a stage requiring engineering preparation;
After 15 years, it might become a system-level decision variable.

And even then, it's not quantum vs. Bitcoin, but quantum vs. the entire world's cryptography system, which could drastically compromise banks, military systems, and global communications.

By that point, what you should be worried about definitely won't be BTC's price!