#市场触底了吗？

A pullback does not equal a bear market; timing is key

Many people immediately associate continuous pullbacks with a bear market. But historically, most corrections within a bull market are often caused by "timing mismatches" rather than the trend itself. The current decline in mainstream coins is more like a technical correction after rapid gains, rather than a collapse of fundamentals.

What we really need to be cautious of is not the price decline itself, but whether the structure has been broken. At present, mainstream coins have not shown signs of a long-term moving average system breaking down across the board, and there are no signs of large-scale capital fleeing the crypto market. Therefore, I do not believe we are already in a full-blown bear market.

In trading, I choose to "reduce frequency and increase certainty." Avoid chasing rebounds or catching falling knives; instead, take small positions near key support levels to test the waters, and be ready to stop-loss at any time. For long-term promising mainstream coins, adopt a dollar-cost averaging and phased position-building approach to avoid exposing too much risk all at once.

Remember, the market doesn't give you just one opportunity, but many. Missing the bottom is not scary; what's scary is consuming your principal and mentality in the wrong timing.