#美联储降息 Bitcoin faces a triple test of central bank decision cycles

It’s not going to be a calm week.

Tonight’s non-farm payroll, Thursday’s US CPI, and Friday’s Bank of Japan actions—three major events happening within the same week—such a dense schedule is rare.

Why is this week particularly crucial?

Next week, the US enters the Christmas trading season, market trading volume will decline, and news activity will cool down. In other words, this week is likely to be the most intense in terms of news and market sentiment in the year. Many mid-term market trends will be anchored at this point.

That’s the current market situation—appearing calm on the surface, but undercurrents surging beneath. It looks like range-bound oscillation, but in reality, it’s waiting for a trigger point.

Non-farm payroll data influences rate cut expectations, CPI figures control inflation topics, and once the Bank of Japan signals a policy shift, global capital flows will follow suit. Three forces collide simultaneously, ultimately converging on the same candlestick.

Simply put: this is the brief calm before the storm, and also the last moment of brewing before the market chooses its direction.

Every subsequent data release must be watched closely. Don’t be fooled by this calm—true volatility always strikes suddenly during these seemingly peaceful times.