Bitcoin surges past the 87,000 mark, and many are already "spoiling" the year's end market in advance. A lot of people are saying that a December interest rate hike in Japan is basically a certainty, and when that happens, the crypto market will definitely drop in response, with conservative estimates of a 20% decline, and some even pessimistic enough to think it could fall below $70,000.
This logic seems airtight, and the information is symmetrical—big players know, retail investors know, and risk warnings are all on the table. But the reality is, some people are still continuing to position themselves at these high levels. What psychological drive is behind this? Is it a misjudgment of policy impacts, or a gamble that their holdings can withstand the volatility, or simply a pure FOMO mentality?
From the perspective of mainstream coins like BTC, SOL, and ETH, the market now feels like a big psychological game—knowing the risks but still racing against them. Would love to hear your thoughts on this situation.
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SandwichTrader
· 12-17 20:59
Everyone says it will drop 20%, but I'm still adding positions. These people are really something.
All the key information is available, yet they still want to take a gamble. Fine, I respect that.
Regarding Japan's interest rate hike, it feels like Bitcoin has already digested the news.
At the 87,000 level, you guys are really bold.
Instead of FOMO, better to let the bullets fly a little longer.
Those who understand psychological games are probably quietly building positions. I see you.
If I had known it would drop, I wouldn't have dared to go all-in at high levels. Truly brave.
Who can really predict policy changes? It's all armchair strategizing after the fact.
I just want to see who will still dare to step forward when the price drops.
Anyway, my strategy is to hold my chips and wait to watch the show.
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consensus_whisperer
· 12-17 02:13
Anyway, I don't believe in "certain things." I've heard this kind of explanation many times before.
The market has already digested it long ago, and the real black swans are those that no one predicted.
87,000 is indeed crazy, but who can say it won't go crazy again next?
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OPsychology
· 12-16 11:52
Haha, here comes this set of arguments again. Every time, they say the risks are on the table, but the outcome is always the same story.
Is Japan's interest rate hike really that scary? Why do I feel the market has already digested it? In fact, those who keep shouting about a decline are the ones chasing the highs the most aggressively.
Basically, it's all gambling—betting that policies won't be that aggressive, betting that the public chain narrative can still be hyped, betting that they are smarter than others to escape the top—this is the essence of FOMO.
People positioning at high levels are probably just trying to catch the last wave before a bottom. No matter how wild it is, eat the meat first and then talk.
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VCsSuckMyLiquidity
· 12-16 11:29
Everyone knows there are traps but still jumps in, this is crypto haha
Do you really take Japan's interest rate hike seriously? I bet this time it's just a fake move
At the 87k level, it's time to go all in; anyway, if it drops, I'll buy the dip
Honestly, retail investors will never have the information advantage over big players, what's the point of playing games
If this wave really breaks below 70k, I'll eat my keyboard live on stream. Don't believe me? It's not that exaggerated
Psychological game? It's just betting on probabilities, betting that you can escape faster than others
FOMO sounds nice, but in reality, it's just greed that can't be cured
Bitcoin surges past the 87,000 mark, and many are already "spoiling" the year's end market in advance. A lot of people are saying that a December interest rate hike in Japan is basically a certainty, and when that happens, the crypto market will definitely drop in response, with conservative estimates of a 20% decline, and some even pessimistic enough to think it could fall below $70,000.
This logic seems airtight, and the information is symmetrical—big players know, retail investors know, and risk warnings are all on the table. But the reality is, some people are still continuing to position themselves at these high levels. What psychological drive is behind this? Is it a misjudgment of policy impacts, or a gamble that their holdings can withstand the volatility, or simply a pure FOMO mentality?
From the perspective of mainstream coins like BTC, SOL, and ETH, the market now feels like a big psychological game—knowing the risks but still racing against them. Would love to hear your thoughts on this situation.