2025-12-16 12:30:11

#以太坊行情技术解读 Tonight's non-farm payroll data has a high probability of first rising and then falling.

Looking at the forward-looking data, overall employment remains relatively stable, and the short-term market can easily interpret this as "not bad," with bullish sentiment possibly taking the lead, pushing risk assets directly higher.

The problem is—if wage growth and employment strength remain high, inflationary pressures simply can't be eased. In that case, the expectation of interest rate cuts will need to be revised and re-priced. After sentiment correction, the reverse operation could instead lead to a sharp decline.

To put it simply:
Sentiment leads, data corrects afterward.

Non-farm payroll movements are inherently volatile, not a one-sided bull or bear trend. The pattern of initial rally followed by a sharp drop should be approached with caution.

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AirdropHunter007

· 2025-12-18 22:00

Non-farm payrolls are like gambling; first follow the trend to push prices higher, then get hammered down. It's always the same routine. --- If interest rate cuts are off the table, inflation will continue to be tightly suppressed. When that happens, the coin prices will need to be re-priced, which is a bit unsettling. --- People talk about prices rising first and then falling, but I just want to know where this wave will finally hit before it's over. --- Strong employment data means no chance of rate cuts. This logic has been obvious for a long time. --- Non-farm payrolls night is really frustrating; emotions lead the rhythm, and data just corrects it, which is a waste of time. --- Everyone, be sure to set stop-losses properly. If you rush in first and then get hammered down, those who go all-in will suffer big losses.

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SandwichTrader

· 2025-12-16 12:59

Yeah, really, this non-farm payroll wave first eats the meat and then gets hammered, old routine.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 2025-12-16 12:42

It's the same old trick of pulling up first and then crashing down; every non-farm payroll report is played like this, I'm used to it. --- It feels like this round of non-farm payroll is just an emotional game; the data is useless before it comes out. --- The expectation of interest rate cuts is really repetitive; when wages strengthen, inflation never ends. --- Rise first, then fall? Sounds better than it is; when the time comes, those who should cut will still cut. --- Another flash crash warning; this kind of structure is most easily washed out. --- Non-farm payroll is just a tool to create waves; have you ever wondered why it’s always like this?

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