#加密生态动态追踪 Everyone, give me a moment to pause, let's talk about something interesting—can we use the "index fund" approach to invest in altcoins?



Think about it carefully: big venture capital firms launch hundreds of projects, betting that about 20% will survive. Since they do this, can't retail investors also create a "altcoin portfolio" when facing a bunch of miscellaneous tokens like ASTER, WIFI, XPL?

For example, I have 10,000 USDT. Instead of going all-in on a single coin, I split it into 100 parts, each 100 USDT, and invest in 100 potential coins across different sectors.

The key questions with this approach are:

**What’s the win rate?** Out of 100 coins, will truly 20% survive? Or will 99 of them end up worthless?

**Are the odds enough?** If that one surviving coin really skyrockets 10,000 times, can it cover the principal of the remaining 99 coins just by itself?

This is not just simple math; it’s about understanding position management. My feeling is that during the early stages of a bull market, this "broad net, small units" strategy can indeed yield higher returns than heavily holding onto a single, lukewarm coin.

Now I ask you—what’s the biggest pitfall of this approach? Is it the eye for selecting coins, or the time cost? Or maybe both?
ASTER-5.88%
XPL-4.64%
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FadCatchervip
· 12-16 13:00
Haha, overthinking it. Ultimately, it's just a gambling mentality disguised as an investment theory. Can 100 coins survive 20%? I think 80% will go to zero.
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RektDetectivevip
· 12-16 12:57
Basically, it's a gambler's mathematical game. I've seen too many people do this, and in the end, they all end up with nothing.
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MevHuntervip
· 12-16 12:47
It sounds flashy, but if your coin selection eye is a bit off, you'll lose everything—that's the real trap. --- 10,000 USDT divided into 100 parts? Honestly, 99 trash coins won't yield much, and you can only rely on the few that turn around. --- Whether the odds are enough depends on whether you can find a true dark horse, not just randomly spreading. --- Casting a wide net sounds good, but if your coin selection ability can't keep up, you're just committing suicide. Don't fool yourself. --- The bull market window does present opportunities, but only if you know how to pick coins; otherwise, this theory is just talk on paper. --- The index fund approach works, but the problem is that big firms have teams doing due diligence—what about us retail investors? --- Instead of dividing into 100 parts, it's better to spend time researching 5 potential coins; with higher focus, the returns might not be low. --- To put it plainly, it's just gambling with a different name. Are there many coins that survive 20%? I think 99 are doomed. --- Time cost is the real killer. For 100 coins, you have to monitor 100 channels—tiring, isn't it?
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