#美联储降息 $BTC 12.16 Bitcoin and Ethereum Evening Trading Ideas

The 4-hour timeframe is currently caught in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with technical signals conflicting. Finding the right entry point is the key.

From a bearish perspective, the moving average alignment is quite clear—price continues to stay below the moving averages, with selling pressure gradually emerging. However, recently there has been a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, indicating that the bulls are attempting to fight back, and market struggle is intensifying. Volume is interesting here; in a contracting state, selling pressure is actually limited, with retail traders mostly observing, showing typical oscillation characteristics.

The price is approaching the strong resistance at 88247.1 for Bitcoin. This level has historically been a significant barrier and is currently the most ideal zone for short positions.

The evening strategy is straightforward—enter short positions at higher levels, but strict risk control is essential:

For Bitcoin, consider shorting in the 87500 to 88000 range, targeting the support zone at 86000 to 85500. For Ethereum, position between 2960 and 2980, with targets around 2880 to 2830.

Focus on two key points moving forward: first, whether Bitcoin can effectively break through the 88247.1 resistance; second, whether there are signs of volume expansion. If the price continues to be pressured, the bearish trend persists. If a breakout occurs with increased volume, be alert to reversal risks and adjust strategies accordingly.